Date: Wednesday, April 4, 2012
All in the Family
Unbeaten Black Caviar’s half brother, All Too Hard, is also unbeaten. Hmmm, records like that in the same family hardly seem fair. Unfortunately All Too Hard will not be able to try to extend his winning streak in the $3.5 Million Golden Slipper this Saturday the 7th of April. All Too Hard, owned by Nathan Tinkler and trained by John Hawke, will be rested after easily winning the Pago Pago Stakes last Saturday at Rosehill. Speaking of last Saturday, if TriLogics owners had taken a look at that race (SR02) they would have seen that All Too Hard, the #1 runner, was the clear favourite with a Win Dividend of 1.2 and a red Money Gap of 6. Those are the kind of numbers his half sister Black Caviar would be proud of, too!
Getting back to the Golden Slipper, with All Too Hard out of the race Samaready is the early 6-to-4 favourite at $2.50 on the fixed price odds. If All Too Hard were in the race, he would have likely been a strong second favourite. Nonetheless, Samaready’s lead up to “The Slipper” has been exceptional. So exceptional, in fact, that the likes of No Looking Back and Dreifontein, both trained by Gai Waterhouse and the 1st and 2nd place finishers under controversial circumstances in the Magic Millions, are now sitting at $9.50 and $14.00 behind Samaready.
Unfortunately, the 18 runner field in “The Slipper” will preclude it from being a qualifying race for TriLogics owners. Even though there are several days before the race is run, it’s extremely unlikely that 2 horses will be scratched helping it to become a qualifying race.
The other big race at Rosehill on Saturday will be the $2.25 Million BMW Stakes with the likes of Americain, Manighar, Drunken Sailor, and Southern Speed setting up in the 10 horse field. Will it be a repeat of this year’s Australian Cup where Manighar and Southern Speed went down to the wire ahead of Americain? Will it qualify as a trading race with TriLogics? It’s possible.
In early markets, Americain is an even-money favourite for the BMW Stakes. As previously mentioned, with an expected field of 10 runners, it could very well qualify as a Megafecta trading race. Also, with 2 runners (Hawk Island and Fiumicino) at 50 to 1 those runners would likely be excluded based on their long Win Dividends. So looking ahead, one possible scenario would be to stand out Americain for 1stplace, and take the next 7 for 2nd and 3rd place making 42 trifetas, which would fall within our guidelines for qualification. Of course at this point that’s just speculation. As race time approaches, keep an eye on TriLogics to see what happens with the money in the final minutes before the race jumps. In the meantime, we’ll look forward to this Saturday and several more exciting Saturdays coming up in April.
Date: Wednesday, March 28, 2012
Cool Race Doesn’t Qualify for TriLogics
Like most TriLogics owners you’ve probably never watched a horse race when the temperature was zero degrees. Even for winter racing in Australia and New Zealand, you have to admit that’s pretty cold. Now, let’s really have some fun and look at a race course with a surface of ice covered with packed snow. Sound cool? Well, no matter how it sounds, it looks gorgeous. If you hadn’t guessed, we’re talking about the annual White Turf Classic horse race that takes place every year in St Moritz, Switzerland. Of course, this race will never show up as a TriLogics trading race (for many, many reasons!) but you should take a moment and look at some spectacular pictures of this truly amazing race. The race’s website has some great shots as well as plenty of info on the race’s background. Also, TriLogics has located a professional photographer’s blog that has great pictures of the event, too.
The Melbourne Cup, the Kentucky Derby, Royal Ascot…these are 3 of the biggest races in the world. The White Turf Classic is nowhere near as popular or as well known as these grand old races, but what it does have in common with them is that the races are accompanied by lots of festivities. When you take an unusual race like the White Turf Classic and run it in one of the winter glamour capitals of the world, well, it shows up on the radar of the rich and famous. While St Moritz has held two winter Olympics and is a fine winter sports destination, it’s the celebrities and the powerful people that really puts this resort on the map. For people in the high-roller league, why not go to a horse racing carnival out on a frozen lake at the edge of town in the middle of winter? Even if it doesn’t sound pleasant to the average person, it makes for some great pictures, and people have been enjoying this spectacle for over 100 years.
St Moritz has been holding this race annually since 1907. Reports say that each year approximately 30,000 – 35,000 people attend the White Turf Classic and the other races that make up the winter racing festival. In addition to the racing, there’s the “wow factor” of being out in the snow, surrounded by the Alps. Like other big races, the event features more than horse racing. Jet setters also have access to fine dining, beautiful people wearing the latest fashions, art exhibitions, and…well probably anything else they want…all laid out across the frozen lake.
But let’s get back to the horse racing: the main even is the 2000m thoroughbred White Turf Classic. But there’s plenty more, too. There are harness-type races where the horses pull small sleighs. And one of the most exciting and dangerous races is called skijoring. Like the sleigh racing, or harness racing, the horses have no riders in skijoring. Instead, the racers are pulled behind the horses on skis at around 60 kilometres per hour. Not surprisingly, going around the corners is the most dangerous part of skijoring. There has been at least one year when not a single “skier” has made it across the finish line. It’s especially dangerous for the leader when there are a bunch of thundering hooves right behind you.
Speaking of thundering hooves, just because the race is on ice and snow doesn’t mean it’s quiet. In fact, the rumbling and shaking that you may have experienced trackside at a regular horse race is equally jarring at the White Turf Classic. It must be a little bit nerve wracking to feel that sort of vibration when you’re standing out on a frozen lake. By all reports the ice has never broken, but it’s probably best to enjoy the photos and leave the race to the jet setters. This link will take you to some of the best pictures. Enjoy!
Date: Wednesday, March 14, 2012
TriLogics and Casablanca
In case you don’t remember, the name of Humphrey Bogart’s saloon in the movie Casablanca is Rick’s Café Americain. As it happens, Americain is also the name of one of the top runners from the Australian Cup last Saturday. Americain lost, but that doesn’t stop TriLogics from following this favourite on the software to learn a thing or two. We also thought it would be interesting to track the money changes as time goes by. Oh no! Another Casablanca reference! As it turns out, when you track the money on the Australian Cup with TriLogics you’ll see that there are both “drifters” and “steamers” or “shorteners”, even though it doesn’t qualify as a trading race. If you’re not familiar with those drifter and shortener be sure to read on while TriLogics takes a look at the $1 million Australian Cup at Flemington.
In the days leading up to the Australian Cup (last Saturday, March 10th) Lucas Cranch was the favourite. But when Lucas Cranch scratched, Americain became the favourite. That’s all well and good, but things really got interesting, even though it wasn’t a TriLogics trading race, in the 20 minutes before the race jumped.
At twenty minutes out from the scheduled start, runner number one, Americain, had a Win Dividend of $1.90. It was clearly the favourite. Then it’s Win Dividend began to increase as race time got closer. It went from $1.90 to $2.00 (at 9 minutes from start), then to $2.10 at 4 minutes and then up to $2.20 at the minute mark. This trend makes runner #1 a “drifter”. The market is losing confidence in it, putting less money on it to win, and hence the Win Dividend increases. TriLogics helps you track that.
Because runner # 1 is drifting, the money flows somewhere else. The runner it flows to is known as a shortener, because it’s odds (or Win Dividend in TriLogics) are shortening from higher to lower. The runner that is attracting the money is runner # 5, Manighar. Let’s see what happens.
At the twenty minute mark we see that the Win Dividend for runner number five is $10.10. Then, by the nine minute mark it drops to $9.50. Not huge, but clearly the market has changed direction on this runner. The trend keeps going. The Win Dividend goes to $7.00 at 2 minutes; $6.70 at one minute. In fact, number 5 ends up winning…just as the market thought it would. Manighar, #5, is a classic shortener.
This same kind of trend is also evident in the total amount of money backing both of those runners. In the last five updates #5 brought in nearly $28k, while #1 only brought in about $14k in the last 5 updates. As we said, this wasn’t a trading race but it’s still good to understand these trends for future trading.
Date: Wednesday, March 7, 2012
Terrific Tuesday with TriLogics
It’s been quite a while since we talked about Tuesday trading for TriLogics. But yesterday the 6th of March is such a good day we have to break our silence. According to our TriLogics figures you could have seen a profit of about $1,000 from positive outcomes on 7 out of 8 qualifying races. The 8th race was an interesting case, too. Let’s briefly analyse what hopefully was a very good trading day for all TriLogics owners including you.
SR01: A standard TriLogics Trifecta race selecting to 58% and a red Money Gap for 1st place and selecting to 91% for 2nd and 3rd place. With a finish order of 6-4-1 you could have started off well. When trading to our website guidelines you could have made $103
MR03: Another Trifecta. This time our guidelines recommend selections down to runner #1 for 80% of the money and a red Money Gap for 1st and 2nd place, 97% and a red Money Gap for 3rd place, while ensuring all runners attracting similar money were covered. When trading to our website guidelines you could have profited $221 bringing your daily total to $324.
SR02: There were too many combinations for this race to qualify as a Trifecta. However, it did qualify as a Percentage Return (PR) race with the Favourite, which held 32% of the money. For this race we’d recommend including both runners #10 and #6 with two red Money Separators. You could have profited $63 for a total of $387 on your daily running total.
BR07: After a bit of a quiet period in the middle of the day your second Percentage Return win in a row (with the Favourite) could have come if you had followed the recommended selection of taking the top 3 strongest runners in terms of money attracted. Runner #2 was the winner and you could have added profit of $107 to bring you to $494. That’s a great run for the day, and some owners may have elected to finish their trading at that point with nearly $500 in their pockets.
SR07: If you had continued trading you would have been doubly rewarded on this race that qualified for both PR and Trifecta and produced positive outcomes for both. Gotta love another 2-for-1 outcome! For the Trifecta you should have added a small percentage allowance, but the winning combination of 9-8-6 could have brought you a profit of $272. If you had combined your Trifecta with another PR trade taking the top two favourites, runners #9 and #5, you could have added $105 for a total of $377 for this race.
MR09: Another PR qualifying race, this time against the favourite. This race was a little unusual because there were 3 runners that were all attracting more money than the favourite in the last 5 updates. That’s practically the definition of a weak favourite, and you want to go against those when the numbers support you. If you had included runner #2 as guidelines recommend you would have added another $144 to bring your daily total to $1,015.
BR08: This last qualifying race of the day was a Trifecta. If you had traded it according to our recommended guidelines you would have won the race, but lost $16. That situation doesn’t happen very often with TriLogics, but it does happen occasionally. In this case the small loss is unimportant compared to the overall outcome for the day.
Although we haven’t talked about Tuesday trading very much lately, with results like this we may be featuring Tuesdays more often
Date: Wednesday, February 29, 2012
2-4-1 for TriLogics
Unfortunately the 2-4-1 in the title of today’s news item is NOT the winning combo for the upcoming Australian Guineas on March 3rd. In fact, it doesn’t even refer to the top 3 finishers in the Blue Diamond Stakes from last Saturday the 25th of February. What it means, and you’ve probably already guessed it, is that you could have had 2 wins for 1 race last Saturday by using the TriLogics Trifecta module as well as the Percentage Return module on AR01. If that wasn’t one (or two!) of your wins last Saturday, you need to keep reading. Also, keep reading if you were looking at the biggest race of the weekend: the million dollar Blue Diamond Stakes. It’s no big surprise that the winner was the favourite. But we’ll go into the way one TriLogics trainer followed the money on that race. It may provide TriLogics owners with a fresh perspective and help you improve your earnings on future races.
On Saturday the 25th of February there was a message from a TriLogics owner who mentioned that he’d won on AR01. Good on ya! We love positive news from TriLogics owners. Too bad the message was a bit short on details, so we don’t know whether it came from using Trifecta or Percentage Return or how big the win was. In this case, either module could have provided you with a win if you followed the guidelines. You could have even won with both on the same race.
Owners who adhered to the basic Trifecta guidelines for race AR01 could have made a profit of $122 if they were trading at the same level that we post on our website. (Simply select the runners to the red Money Gaps after making sure that 50% of the money was covered for 1st place, 70% for 2nd and 90% for 3rd.) However, owners could have made $213 (almost two times as much) if they had used the third place cut back allowance. We don’t have space to go into full details of the third place cut back allowance here, but it is covered in training, so if you don’t remember it you’ll want to go back over it. In this case, even if you didn’t use it you could have made money. In addition, after making a trade in the Trifecta module, owners could have flicked over to the Percentage Return module and traded there, as well. In this module you would have seen that the top two runners were attracting the most money by a wide margin. By selecting those two and trading with our web site guidelines, you could have made an additional $75. Of course, $75 is not a huge amount by itself, but if you combine it with your Trifecta winnings on this same race it’s a very nice start to your day.
Later that day at 4:30pm, you may have been looking forward to MR07: the $1M Blue Diamond Stakes at Caulfield. As could have been predicted, the field was too large to qualify as a Trifecta so you probably would have just watched it for the excitement instead of for trading purposes. However, it’s possible there were some experienced—and brave—owners who were willing to trade this race in Percentage Return by only backing the top favourite. Of course, you already know that TriLogics doesn’t recommend taking less than two runners for first. In this case, the money backing runner number 10, the favourite Samaready, was far beyond the rest of the field. In fact, over the last 5 updates, runner #10 attracted $61,000+ and the second favourite only attracted $12,500. Again, we don’t recommend doing this even though there could have been a profit of well over 100% by only taking #10 in PR.
One last note: As we said before we like hearing from TriLogics owners, but please remember to send complete info if you want us to take a look at your trading. One message from last week mentioned a win on PR04 on Saturday and that confused us. One of our TriLogics trainers had a good look at the race and we cannot see how it was a trading race. He dug a little further and found that PH04 might have been the race the owner was referring to. Even that isn’t certain because the pool was $5,000 below qualifying level at the 1-minute mark. However, the race was delayed and the pool did get above $20,000 after the scheduled start time, which is why we think that might have been the race the owner was talking about. So if you’d like us to consider your trading, please be sure to include accurate race info. That’s doubly important if you want to tell us about the next time you score a 2-4-1 win.
Date: Wednesday, February 22, 2012
Déjà vu All Over Again for TriLogics Owners
If you hadn’t heard the news, Black Caviar won again last Saturday the 18th of February. And once again, the race did not qualify as a TriLogics trading race. Ouch! But if you’ve been paying attention to our recent news posts, it’s possible that this time you joined other TriLogics owners and found a way to capitalise on Black Caviar’s success. Not that we’re officially recommending that. We’re simply sharing what we’ve heard. More on that shortly. Other than that, Saturday wasn’t a great trading day. Overall, we posted 4 negative outcomes out of 7 qualifying Trifectas. However, one owner sent a message about his great results for the day and mentioned BR06. So, in the spirit of the old saying “You’re either winning or you’re learning” let’s see if there are some worthwhile lessons that might help TriLogics owners in the future.
For the second year in a row Black Caviar and Hay List finished 1-2 in the Lightning Stakes at Flemington. (It must be frustrating to be the owner of an excellent horse like Hay List while a legendary horse like Black Caviar is in its prime.) Unfortunately for TriLogics owners, Black Caviar’s Win Dividend of 1.2 was too low for the race to qualify as a trading race. But, as we’ve discussed in past weeks, that hasn’t stopped some TriLogics owners from taking advantage of the great horse’s amazing record.
This past Saturday, MR06 was the 1000m Lightning Stakes at Flemington. Black Caviar (#7) was the favourite by a mile, with a red Money Gap of over 5. Hay List (#2), was the second favourite with a red Money Gap of 1.7. So, if you were going to trade on this race—and we want to emphasise that we will not include this as a qualifying race in our web site figures—it would be clear that #7 would be the sole selection for 1st place and #2 would be the sole selection for 2nd place. (Remember, you should always be looking for big Money Gaps and these are the kind of Money Gaps that really stand out.) Moving on to 3rd place selections, the money invested on the next 3 runners (#’s 9, 3, and 4) indicates those were the ones to take for 3rd. At this point you would have covered more than 90% of the money. With these selections, you could have made $813.
Fortunately for the public, it looks like Black Caviar will have another race in Australia before heading to the UK for the Diamond Jubilee Stakes at Royal Ascot. Currently, it looks like her last run in Australia will be in Queensland or South Australia. But the larger principle behind this “Black Caviar Lesson” still applies. Look for those huge red Money Gaps for 1st and 2nd place. When you see those, and everything is still clean after making your 3rd place selections, make your trade and be confident.
Let’s move on to the message from the owner who said he had a great day last Saturday. The only specific race that he mentioned was SR06. According to the figures posted on our web site SR06 had a positive outcome of $609. It sounded like the TriLogics owner made $700. Let’s investigate the discrepancy between the figures. For the figures posted on our web site we took the top 3 runners for 1st and 2nd place because they held the bulk of the money (72%). We selected the next five runners (#8,#7,#11,#3, and #5)) for 3rd place, because they clearly formed the group holding secondary money and ended on a red Money Gap. Those selections would have returned $609. So, where did our owner’s extra $100 of profit come from? It seems that he must have left off runner #5 for 3rd place to get that extra $100. Although leaving that runner off would increase profit we can’t recommend it. Remember: red Money Gaps highlight significant separations between Win Dividends. That’s what you want to look for to make money on a consistent basis.
Date: Wednesday, February 15, 2012
High Noon at the TriLogics Corral
OK, so we mixed a couple of movie titles together up above, but that’s not the main point. The main point for TriLogics owners is that, like some of those old westerns, a couple of last Saturday’s races are definitely worth a second look. Hopefully, you had a good first look at both SR01 and SR02 on the 11th of February. As an added attraction, we’ll also take a look at MR06 later in the day.
High Noon
In addition to being the title of the Academy Award winning classic starring Garry Cooper, it was also the start time for SR01. As it happened, this first race of the day qualified as a TriLogics Trifecta. As in “High Noon”, nothing fancy happened—it was a straight MG selection race. TriLogics guidelines recommended selecting: to runner #3 and a red MG for 1st place, covering 59% of market share; to runner #1 for 2nd place, covering 76% of market share; and to runner # 5 for 3rd place. If you had traded according to these TriLogics recommendations and our website guidelines you could have taken a very early profit of $390 a couple of minutes past noon.
Everybody Loves a Winning Sequel
The next TriLogics trading race of the day was SR02, which started just 35 minutes after the day’s first winner. Like the preceding race, SR02 was also a standard Money Gap selection Trifecta. Our guidelines recommend taking up to the red Money Gap at runner #9 for 1st place, covering 54% of the money; up to the second red Money Gap at runner #4 for 2nd place, covering 85% of the money; and the rest of the field for 3rd place. Having done this you should have noted that selections for all 3 finish positions had clearly defined “money grouping”. If you’re not sure what we mean check the race history in TriLogics and you’ll see how “clean” each group was. TriLogics owners trading like this could have profited $224 on this race.
Double Feature
This same race, SR02, also qualified as a Percentage Return (PR) race. Remember: It only takes a single mouse click to check if a race qualifies under PR as well. Once you check the PR tab you should noted that the top 2 runners were clearly the strongest runners. In all fairness, this PR win only provided a modest return of $79, but combined with the other two trades of the day you could have been looking at a $690 profit after just 35 minutes of trading.
The Return of Black Bart…make that Black Caviar
Owners who had pocketed nearly $700 by 12:35pm from the previous races might have decided to wait and see what would happen when Black Caviar tried to make it 18 straight victories in the CF Orr Stakes at Caulfield at 3:50pm (MR06). As has been the case for some time now, Black Caviar was such a strong favorite ($1.10) that the race did not qualify as a trading race. Nevertheless, owners with solid profits in their pockets might have decided to take a chance. We don’t recommend that, but we understand it.
If you chose to ignore the fact that this race was NOT a qualifying race because runner #8’s (Black Caviar) $1.10 Win Dividend was too small you would have noticed that it also had a red Money Gap of 7.64. That alone would cement her as the sole choice for 1st place. The second favourite (#9, Southern Speed—last year’s winner of the Caulfield Cup) also had a strong red Money Gap of 3.01, and would have been the sole selection for 2nd place, which would have covered 86% of the money. The next 2 runners (#6 and #2) covered 92% of the money and also ended on a red Money Gap. So, could Black Caviar’s “sure win” status help a bold trader who went against the guidelines? With the selections as outlined above, they could have made a profit of $871 on a $400 trade.
Can we recommend it? Absolutely not. On the other had, if you were one of the owners who ignored the guidelines because of Black Caviar’s status we can hardly blame you. In fact, we congratulate you on succeeding with your bold move. That’s probably why the saying, “Fortune favours the bold” has been around for nearly 2000 years. It even sounds like the title of a great western, don’t you think?
Date: Thursday, February 9, 2012
“Friday on My Mind”
Are you old enough to remember the Sydney band called The Easybeats? How about their #1 hit “Friday on My Mind”? Whether you admit remembering it or not, it’s a great pop tune and, like the band, TriLogics has Friday on its mind, too—Friday night that is. And for a very good reason: it’s looking more and more like there’s cash to be made on Friday nights. Here’s how…
Racing New South Wales, Racing Victoria, and the Australian Turf Club have all been promoting Friday night racing lately. At the moment they are still “crunching their numbers” and deciding whether or not they are going to expand night thoroughbred racing. TriLogics Group has no hard info on whether it will expand or not, but we think it looks promising. While the big racing organizations figure out what they’re going to do, TriLogics is collecting data and doing our own analysis on potential profits to be made by our owners. The verdict? Initial information shows there are definitely money making possibilities available.
Over the years, some TriLogics owners have reported that they use the software to trade greyhound and the trots at night. Although we encourage owners to explore many options, and we’re fully aware the software can be used on these other forms of racing, our website results are strictly based on thoroughbred racing during the day. But with the increased promotion of Friday night thoroughbred racing we decided to take a look at a recent Friday (the 3rd of February) as one example to see how TriLogics trading would have turned out.
In fact, TriLogics owners could have made themselves a quite a nice profit if they had traded according to our website guidelines. (Once again, we want to stress that our website figures currently do NOT include any night races.)
We analysed that Friday night’s races with a senior trainer and we found that trading looked quite good. Moonee Valley’s MR03 at 7:45pm would have qualified as a fairly straight-forward Trifecta trading race. If you had covered the top 2 runners for 1st place, the top 4 runners for 2nd place, and the top 10 runners for 3rd place and had traded according to our website guidelines you could have made a tidy profit of $367 for the race. Not a bad way to start a Friday night.
Then, just 3 races later, MR06 also qualified as another fairly standard Trifecta race. In this race, our guidelines would have recommended taking the top 3 runners for 1st and 2nd place, and the rest of the field for 3rd place. If you had followed these recommendations and traded the same levels posted on our website you could have added another $457 to your account. With those two races, you could have pocketed over $800 for the night, and that would have been a great way to start off your weekend.
Remember our website figures don’t include these numbers, but we are in the process of analysing the data and will post our final assessment on our website when all the info is in. In the meantime, you might want to keep an eye on these night races. As it turned out last week, there could be some great money making opportunities.
Date: Wednesday, January 11, 2012
“It Happened in December: The TriLogics Story”
Hollywood has made an industry out of people who hang in there when the going gets tough: think of Sylvester Stallone in Rocky, Tim Robbins in Shawshank Redemption or Will Smith in The Pursuit of Happyness among thousands of others. It might sound corny, but the reason these movies strike a chord with audiences is that they inspire us to persevere when we hit rough patches in our own lives. It happens in life and it happened last month with TriLogics.
We’ll admit it, we received a few emails and calls in the middle of December asking us what was going on since December is often one of the better trading months of the year. Well, we don’t like down periods any more than you do, but what happened starting on the 23rd of December, right when most people were breaking for Christmas, is what usually happens if you persevere with TriLogics: the figures started climbing back up. In fact, the combined Trifecta and Percentage Return figures climbed above $400 every single day between the 23rd and the 31st except for the 28th.
Don’t worry we’re not going to try to shop this story around to Spielberg or Scorsese with some kind of Christmas Miracle pitch. In fact, we’d much rather make a boring movie where all TriLogics owners make tons of money every single trading day. But no producer would buy a script like that and no one would want to see it. It wouldn’t be exciting, it wouldn’t be real, and, unfortunately, it wouldn’t be TriLogics. But that’s OK. There are rough patches in everything in life worth doing. The point is to persevere, get through the rough patches and prosper in the end. That’s what makes for good movies and it’s what makes for successful TriLogics users.
While we’re looking back on 2011 another thing to take note of is that our website figures for the year ended up at $58,567. It’s not quite as strong as 2010’s figures, but it’s more than $2,200 above our yearly average figure for the 7 financial years from 2004 – 2011, which is a great figure for any business.
Plus, 2012 started off with a bang for Trifecta, too. On the 2nd of January (the New Year’s Day Holiday) in the very first qualifying Trifecta, SR02, our guidelines would have recommended selecting the top 2 runners for 1st place covering 56% of the money, with a Money Gap of 1.97. To fill out your selections we would have recommended taking the next four runners for 2nd and 3rd place. If you had traded according to our web site guidelines that could have resulted in a $601 profit. And if that were a movie, our guidelines would recommend the title: “Won and Done: Happy New Year!” Now, let’s get to work on the sequel.
Date: Wednesday, November 23, 2011
New Members Login & Trading with Patience
In case you haven’t already noticed, we have changed both the location and format for logging into the members section of TriLogics. Of course, the new login is still on the TriLogics.com.au home page but now you should login at the upper right part of the home page. Until recently the login button was in the lower right corner. You will also note that you can now login directly from the home page with your user name and password instead of clicking a button and adding your details in a separate window. One other change to take note of: we’ve now added a link so you can have a new password emailed to you if you’ve forgotten yours. When requesting a new password, please remember to use the same email address that is registered with TriLogics. One final note: we encourage you to get into the habit of logging in at the top right, because although there is still a login button at the bottom left of the page, that button will be removed once we have completed all “back end” work on the website. We hope you’re enjoying the TriLogics website’s new look!
We also hope you were trading last Saturday the 19th. Although it wasn’t a spectacular day, it definitely could have rewarded owners who patiently traded throughout the day. If you adhere to a $500 daily target, you could have achieved it and more using both Percentage Return and Trifecta. Often we talk about trading days where it’s smart to “get in and get out” quickly with your profits in hand. This past Saturday was one where you could have seen a nice return, but it would have taken you until 4:30pm. Still, with a figure of $660 as posted on our web site, it could have been a very worthwhile Saturday.
Despite a few races with data corruption, there were six races that qualified as Percentage Return (PR) trading races spread out over the day. (One side note on that for those interested: we regard any race that does not have a one-minute update from the NSW TAB service as having data corruption and therefore ineligible for trading.) Through all of those PR races, we posted a positive figure of about $150 on our website. Nothing outrageous, but when added to the Trifecta figure toward the end of the day it made for a worthwhile day of trading.
The qualifying Trifecta race we’re referring to was PR07 at Kembla Grange in New South Wales. As it turns out, it was the one and only qualifying Trifecta of the day. Some days go like that. Guidelines would have recommended covering 60 Trifecta combinations (the maximum to still qualify), but it could have provided you with a return of $510 on that race alone. Combined with the Percentage Return trading we mentioned earlier, owners could have pocketed a total of $660 for the day. It’s days like this when the old saying, “patience is a virtue”, could also be interpreted as, “patience pays off”.
Date: Wednesday, November 9, 2011
TriLogics Doesn’t Mess with Mamma…Cass
Last week there was a lot of excitement about the Melbourne Cup and Black Caviar, but it was no surprise that neither provided TriLogics owners with good money making opportunities if you were following our guidelines. As far as making money, you would have been better off if you were using TriLogics last Monday. Yes, you read that right—Monday. Forget about the Boomtown Rats’, “I Don’t Like Mondays” and instead go with the mellower Mamas and the Papas’, “Monday, Monday”. If you had TriLogics running last Monday the 7th of November you would have seen a “picture perfect” Banker Trifecta in SR03.
Runner #1, the favourite with a Win Dividend of 1.7, set up perfectly for a Banker in SR03 on Monday the 7th. With that Win Dividend and a red Money Gap of 2.88, it was a perfect opportunity to stand #1 out for first place. If you followed our advice from a few weeks back on double checking what was happening with the money on #1 in the Percentage Return module you would have seen it had a Money Separator of 3.5, which should have been very reassuring.
Filling out the rest of the selections as per the guidelines should have seen you take the next four runners (#5, #6, #3, and #9) for second place stopping on a red Money Gap of 1.9, and covering a little over 84% of the money for 1st and 2nd place. With no other red Money Gaps further down the screen, the guidelines recommend taking the rest of the field for 3rd place, and that turned out to be a wise move as the second-to-last favourite (runner #4 with a Win Dividend of 44.2) ended up finishing in 3rd place.
The above numbers reflect where things stood when it was time to place your trade, but the lead up to that point would have given you plenty of additional confidence in standing out runner #1 for first place. Starting at 6 minutes out from the scheduled start and moving to the one-minute mark you would have seen runner #1’s Win Dividend move from 2.2 to 1.9 to 1.7 (at trading time) and finally closing at 1.6. As one of our senior trainers says, “If that’s not a perfect Banker Trifecta, I don’t know what is.”
He goes on to add, “When TriLogics owners are assessing a Banker Trifecta they need to remember that the 2 things they’re looking for are: 1.) increased money support and, 2.) big Money Gaps in both the Trifecta and Percentage Return modules. SR03 had all of that.” Plus, when trading according to the guidelines there were only 40 Trifecta combinations (which is well under the recommended number) and the top combo was $33. If you had followed along with this, and traded as per the website you could have profited $650 and been done for the day. As Mama Cass from the Mamas and the Papas sang, “Monday, Monday…so good to me.”
Date: Wednesday, October 26, 2011
TriLogics Meets Dirty Harry
A message from a TriLogics user last week reminded us of Clint Eastwood’s famous line from the movie, “Dirty Harry”. You probably already remember the line, but just in case here’s the setup. Harry is in a diner when a bank robbery occurs across the street. He and his .44 Magnum take care of 2 of the bad guys while one lies wounded in the street. As Harry walks up aiming his gun, the wounded robber looks at his own gun just within reach. Before the robber can reach for the gun, Harry tells him, “I know what you’re thinking. ’Did I fire six shots, or only five?’ Well, to tell you the truth, in all this excitement, I’ve kinda lost track myself…so you’ve got to ask yourself one question: ‘Do I feel lucky?’ Well, do ya, punk?“ That’s not a question we encourage TriLogics users to ask themselves before they place a trade.
Instead, we hope a client would say to himself, “No matter happens with this trade, I’d do the exact same thing again because I’ve followed my system. Luck has NOTHING to do with it.” So, why are we bringing this up? Because about a week ago a TriLogics owner wrote that CR02 on the 18th of October showed a very nice payout of $959 on a $400 trade. Whenever a client talks about a return like that we’re very happy for them…unless it turns out that they had luck on their side instead of the system. Let’s take a closer look.
When one of our senior trainers checked the race he found CR02 didn’t qualify as one of our trading races. Hmmm… Did we miss something? The only way to find out for sure was to check, because we definitely wanted to know if we had the right number of bullets in our gun. After a good look, it became clear that CR02 on the 18th certainly could have been a winner with 36 Trifecta combinations with a payout of $959…but NOT if you were following our Trifecta guidelines.
After examining the race, the likely situation was that the owner had looked at what the software had pre-selected, which was close to 50%, 70% and 90%, and left the first place selections as they were, which was fine because they ended on a red Money Gap. But it was second place that had our trainer shaking his head. It looked like the owner had removed 1 runner for second place, (probably because it wasn’t attracting enough money), and then left the pre-selections for third place down to 90% using an allowance. Following the rules for first place and third place and ignoring them for second place isn’t the way to go, because there was no red Money Gap to stop on for second place. At that point, our owner must have been feeling lucky, because he wasn’t following our system.
Of course, you will sometimes have luck on your side and do well, as in this case. But if you remember what happened in “Dirty Harry” after Clint’s famous line, he pulled the trigger and there were no more bullets left in his Magnum. Harry had bluffed the baddie. But the wounded “punk” had already surrendered. Clint ended up lucky. Of course he did: he’s the good guy, he’s the star, and…it’s a Hollywood movie. In real life…in TriLogics…we strongly encourage you leave luck to the punters and follow the guidelines that are part of training. At the very least, do that until you become experienced enough to develop your own system. And by that time you’ll know that you should still follow a system instead of relying on luck. Dirty Harry is a great movie character, but he’d make a lousy TriLogics owner.
Date: Wednesday, October 19, 2011
Care for some caviar with your TriLogics?
Right from the beginning we need to make one thing clear: Black Caviar was not involved in a recommended TriLogics trading race when the sprinter won her 14th straight race. Having said that, we ARE going to spend a few minutes analysing this non-trading race for 2 main reasons. The first reason it’s worth talking about MR04 is because it was the race where the great Black Caviar equaled one of Phar Lap’s greatest records. Because of that, we know that some racing enthusiasts would have watched the race while keeping an eye on TriLogics to follow the money. The second reason this race (the Schillaci Stakes) might be of interest to TriLogics owners is that even though it didn’t qualify as a trading race by our standard guidelines, at least a couple of TriLogics users have reported that they did trade the race based on the strength of Black Caviar. Let’s look at the “money-story” that led them to trade and win handsomely on this non-qualifying race.
The Schillaci Stakes (MR04) took place at 1:20pm on Saturday the 8th of October. Since TriLogics never mentions a horse’s name, you might have had to check the TAB website or other source to see that the #6 runner was Black Caviar. Of course, if you knew she was running in this race, and you have been paying attention to the news, the fact that the #6 runner had a Win Dividend of 1.1 would have provided a huge hint that #6 was Black Caviar.
It’s crystal clear that Black Caviar is an extremely strong favourite. In fact, she’s too strong for the race to qualify as a Banker Trifecta which requires a Win Dividend of 1.5-1.7. As we said though, because Black Caviar has NEVER LOST, and the money reinforces her status as favourite, some TriLogics users saw her 6.73 red Money Gap and were confident enough to stand her out to win. The next step was to cover runners for the 2nd and 3rd place positions.
What we have been told by TriLogics users, is that with Black Caviar chosen as their only runner for first, they proceeded to cover 96.5% of the money for 2nd and 3rd down to the next red Money Gap. That would have yielded 12 Trifectas.
In the past, we have often recommended flipping back to the Percentage Return screen for reassurance when trading the Banker Trifecta. If you had done that, you would have received strong confirmation regarding standing out Black Caviar. Over the last 5 updates Black Caviar (runner #6) attracted $32,000. The second favourite, Karuta Queen, attracted $5,000. The next two runners attracted about $1,000.
So if a TriLogics owner had flicked back to the Trifecta screen to make that trade they could have had an excellent return of $330. Another important note regarding the software is that although the winning Trifecta only paid $10.70, the TriLogics software allocated $69 out of $400 to the winning combo, and that’s what lead to the healthy reward for this trade. Again, we note that this was NOT a trading race according to our guidelines and we will NOT include that $330 as part of our website figures.
All going well, Black Caviar’s next scheduled start is the 1200m Schweppes Stakes on the 22nd of October atMooneeValley, which is Cox Plate day as well. If you’re using TriLogics on that day, you may want to keep an eye on the size of the field and the other factors in that race. It’s likely that this might be another interesting race, even if doesn’t qualify under normal trading guidelines. After all, Black Caviar is anything but normal.
Date: Wednesday, September 28, 2011
Nobody Does it Better…than TriLogics
Some TriLogics owners have told us that they sometimes get a bit nervous about trading the Banker Trifecta strategy. We understand and we’re here to help. “But you don’t understand,” we’ve been told, “I don’t like standing-out a single runner to Win. I‘d rather have two or three runners to Win in my combinations, instead of just one.” Well, we do understand. We especially understand that some newer owners might feel that way and that’s why we’re passing along a TriLogics Tip that should help those owners. Believe this: It’s very important to keep “the Banker” as part of your normal trading arsenal. It can provide you with great money making opportunities. And that’s exactly what it did last Saturday the 24th. . So, to help boost your confidence, try using the TriLogics Percentage Return (PR) module to double check the strength of the favourite. It might very well give you the confidence to make a winning trade.
Last Saturday, the 24th of September, MR02 was shaping up to be a beautiful Banker Trifecta. To make things even better, MR02 was scheduled to jump at 1:10pm.
Why does that matter? Because if it came through as a winner, and it sure looked like it would, then you might very well be able to “call it a day” after less than an hour on TriLogics. As you might hear on Melbourne’s Lygon Street “At’s a Nice!”
What made MR02 look so good? Well, the 1.5 Win Dividend was pretty good looking to begin with. Combine that with a Money Gap of 4.93 and you would be easily excused if you’d started belting out the hit single “Mamma Mia!” OK, so we’re off to a great start, but we still need to cover the rest of our selections and then see if we’re going to keep torturing the neighbors with an off-key version of Abba’s “Golden-Oldie”.
Following the recommended procedure, we cover down to 82.6% of the money for second place, making sure we include all runners attracting similar cash. To finish things off, we recommend completing your selections down to 97.6% of the money while again including all runners with similar money. Do we have too many combinations? Drum roll, please. TriLogics says no, and that’s our final answer. The 21 combinations are well below our maximum for a Banker. Are you still feeling a little nervous?
OK, then it’s time to double check your potential Banker with the “PR insurance policy”. To do this, simply flick over to the PR module to get a quick summary of what’s been happening with the flow of money over the last 5 updates. When you check MR02 you’ll see that the Money Separator is a massive 8.61. Yeah, baby!
MR02 is looking more and more gorgeous all the time. And, because it’s always fun looking at big, beautiful…numbers…we look further. Hmmm, what do we see here? The favourite looks every bit as good as it did in the Trifecta module—maybe even better. Over the last 5 updates runner #3 has attracted about $55,000. Oh, baby! And the next closest runner? Just $6,400 over the last 5 updates. Are we about to make some money, baby?
What do you think? Is this a good opportunity to go back to the Trifecta module and make your trade? Of course it is! If you had traded the way it’s posted on our website you could have had a profit of $588 in about 40 minutes using the software. And it’s not even 1:15pm, yet. Now, if you’re still nervous you may want to talk to your doctor about a Valium. Just kidding! Trust your training. Trust the software. Be confident!
Date: Wednesday, September 7, 2011
The Wise Guy’s Guide to TriLogics
Like Mikey the mobster in the Martin Scorcese movie says, “How many times I gotta tell ya.” At the risk of repeating ourselves TriLogics wants to remind you to trade to a daily target and stop. Why are we bringing this up again? Simple: For the first 3 days of September if you had traded TriLogics to a daily target of $500 you would have been “won and done” within the first hour of trading. Let’s look at the trading for each day—capiche?
“It’s a Beautiful Thing”: Thursday the 1st of September
Jumping at 12:55, race SR01 was the third race of the day. It was the first qualifying TriLogics Trifecta race, and it qualified under Megafecta guidelines. Runner #10 had a massive Money Gap of over 4.0, which made it a perfect candidate to stand out on its own for first. If you’d followed the rest of the guidelines you would have covered 92% of the money including second and third place. If trading according to our website guidelines the result could have been a nearly $600 profit for the day and you should have been done in an hour…that’s the beauty part.
“Leave the Gun, Take the Cannolis”: Friday the 2nd of September
The first race of the day was MR01 at Geelong that jumped at 12:37. As in the day before, this race also featured another stand out favourite showing a Money Gap of 3.6. Continuing with our guidelines, you should have taken 95% of the money for second place and the rest of the field for third place. If you had followed these guidelines you would have been up a cool $915 for the race, and done for the day. That’s even better than home-made cannolis.
“A Race You Can’t Refuse”: Saturday the 3rd of September
On this day it would have taken you a little longer to make your money…but not much. Race PR01 at Hawkesbury in provincial NSW jumped at 12:40. It qualified as a Megafecta and runner #11 was a stand out favourite with a Money Gap of 3.5. If you had covered 91% for second and third place, as suggested by the guidelines you could have made $319. Since our website target is $500 we had not met it so we kept looking for another qualifying race. It didn’t take long. MR01 at Flemington jumped at 12:45 qualifying as a Standard Trifecta with 70% for first and second place, and the rest of the field for third place. It wasn’t a huge win, but the $186 you could have won would have put you over $500 for the day, and once again you’re done…in a good way!
Better than Linguini with Clam Sauce
On Friday and Saturday no races qualified under Percentage Return (PR) guidelines prior to our Trifecta races, but there was one that snuck in there early on Thursday the 1st of September. It was race MR02 and it jumped at 12:45 (just ahead of our winning Trifecta). This PR race had two favourites with very strong Money Separators and it could have provided you with a nice $124 to start your day. Add that to the $599 won 10 minutes later and you’ve got a gorgeous Thursday and an even more gorgeous $2143 for the 3 days. So, maybe you’re tired of hearing us suggest you stick to a daily target and quit…but you’re probably not tired of starting your September off with over $2100 in the first 3 days! As the New York wise guys say in the movies, Badda Bing, Badda Boom…Fuhgeddaboutit—you’re done.
Date: Wednesday, August 31, 2011
In case you hadn’t caught the musical reference in today’s title, the “me” refers to TriLogics Trifecta module. And Trifecta just gave clients the opportunity to have a great 5-day period of trading. Hopefully you were leaning on Trifecta, yourself. A couple of weeks ago we talked about how well the TriLogics Percentage Return (PR) module was performing. Now, toward the end of this month, it’s been the Trifecta module that’s been strong. From the 25th of August through the 29th we’ve had 4 solid Trifecta days. On one of those days, the first qualifying Trifecta came through with a strong start. On another day, you had to have a little faith and patience, but the TriLogics Trifecta module came through in the end. Then, on the 27th, three out of the first four Trifectas could have delivered a great outcome if you were trading according to our guidelines. Let’s take a closer look.
Last Thursday the 25th of August could have been a very good Trifecta day if you had traded SR01 according to guidelines on our website. That was the first qualifying Trifecta race of the day, jumping at 12:45, and it was perfect for using our Standard Trifecta strategy. Our data sheets show clients could have had a positive outcome of $432 for that race. Plus, since the first race of the day jumped at 12:00pm you only had to be on TriLogics for about 45 minutes to see a great outcome. Leaning on Trifecta is beginning to feel nice and solid, isn’t it?
The very next day, on the 26th, there was another Trifecta race that would have been nice and solid if not spectacular. It was BR05, and it didn’t jump until 3:25pm so you had to be a bit patient in this case. But if you were trading according to our guidelines your patience could have been rewarded with another positive outcome on another Standard Trifecta. In this case there were 36 trifectas selected, and you could have pocketed $213 on the race. It would be understandable if leaning on Trifecta was starting to feel pretty comfortable.
Then, on Saturday the 27th, three out of the first four Trifectas could have been winners for you if you were following our guidelines. CR02 at 12:24 qualified as a Banker Trifecta and could have provided you with a tidy $425. 11 minutes later MR01 also qualified as a Banker and jumped at 12:35. Unfortunately you would have experienced a loss of $400 on that one, but hopefully you didn’t give up on Trifecta just yet. 25 minutes later, AR01 looked pretty good as yet another Banker in the lead up to its 1:00pm jump. Sure enough, it could have showed a positive outcome of $425, and you could have found yourself $50 ahead of where you started. And Trifecta was just warming up. At 1:35 AR02 qualified as a Standard Trifecta under the basic guidelines of 50%, 70%, and 90% to red Money Gaps and you could have made $512. Not bad for under 2 hours of “work” on a Saturday.
If you had stuck around for trading on Monday the 29th you would have seen the Trifecta trend continue on race MR04. It qualified as a Banker with just 30 trifectas, and could have provided you with $858 on that race alone. So there you have the story of Trifecta carrying the load for a 5-day period. As we saw, there was a bump along the way, but in trading—as in life—that’s the way it goes. As the song says: the important thing is to have a friend to lean on when things are a bit down. This past week it was the Trifecta module carrying the load. Next week it might be PR again. Practice using all the modules and strategies so the right “friend” will be there for you when you need it.
Date: Wednesday, August 17, 2011
Last Saturday, the 13th of August, we read a couple of messages from TriLogics owners who talked about how well they had done. Both mentioned profits in the area of $800. What we’d like to focus on is the how well things went when trading Percentage Return (PR) with and against the favourite. After all, one of the main reasons we have multiple strategies is that sometimes one strategy or module runs “hotter” than the others. Well, last Saturday it was TriLogics PR that might have had you singing the Carole King / James Taylor’s oldie, “You’ve Got a Friend”. Let’s take a look at how TriLogics PR could have really helped your trading last Saturday.
The first race of the day that qualified as a PR race, trading with the favourite, was AR01 that jumped at 12:40pm. In this race you would have been wise to stand out the top two favourites, runners #2 and #1. They were clearly the strongest runners in the race based on market support, and combined they held over 50% of market money. Runner #2 held 32% and runner #1 held 21%. If you had traded according to the guidelines as posted on our website you could have seen a nice start to your day with a figure of $124.
Just 20 minutes later, BR02 was another race that qualified as a PR race trading with the favourite. As in AR01, you would have wanted to select the top two runners in this race, runners #3 and #2. Not only were they each holding a solid percentage of market money, 34% for runner #3 and 20% for runner #2, but there was a massive Money Separator of 3.3. That should have given you plenty of confidence to take these two runners and if you were trading according to our web guidelines you would have seen a positive figure of $93.
You had to switch gears slightly for the next qualifying race, LR04, which was scheduled to jump at 1:55. In this case you still would have wanted to focus on the PR module, but this time going against the favourite. In this case you would have wanted to trade to the runners that the software selected because they finished on a clear red Money Separator. If you had traded this race you could have made $172. *NOTE: One TriLogics owner did a spot-on analysis of LR04 and in reality it should NOT be considered a PR trading race. Technically, it could have been a trading race, but the positive indicators (as pointed out by a vigilant owner) say that we shouldn’t have traded against #4. In fact, we did not include this race as a positive outcome on our website figures.
A few minutes later you would have wanted to stick with PR, and continue to stick with trading against the favourite for race MR04. In this case the favourite was very weak and so you would have wanted to select the #4, #1, #3, and #2 runners against it. It wouldn’t have provided a huge positive figure, $58, but combined with the other races for the day you could have been looking at a very tidy profit by 2:00pm—all through Percentage Return trading. This is good news since we’ve heard that many TriLogics owners are especially comfortable trading with the PR module because changing the value is a simple process based on the strength of the race. When in doubt, have a close look at Percentage Return: there’s a good chance it will be your financial friend right when you need one.
Date: Wednesday, August 3, 2011
In the coming weeks TriLogics Group will be releasing online training for TriLogics to be hosted on YouTube. You read that right: TriLogics training on YouTube. If you thought YouTube was just a website where you could watch dogs dance the mambo you’re overlooking the amazing educational opportunities it offers. Want to know how to use Microsoft’s Excel program—watch how on YouTube. Want to learn advanced mathematics—watch how on YouTube. Want to learn or review TriLogics training modules…you guessed it—watch it on YouTube.
Before we get ahead of ourselves, these training videos aren’t quite ready for prime time today, but they will be in the very near future. Not only are they perfect for new TriLogics owners who want to learn at their own pace, but they’re perfect for any TriLogics owner who wants to review and keep their skills sharp.
Many times in the past we’ve talked about TriLogics Power Users regularly reviewing their training materials to keep sharp. Well, now it will be easier than ever. And for people who learn best through watching these new modules will really be helpful. Another benefit of these online training modules is that you can pause them at will to make notes or if you have to step away from the computer for a few minutes.
So what will you see in these modules? You’ll see the TriLogics screen with all the data. One of our trainers will provide a running commentary of what to look for and important points to take note of. As he describes important points they will be highlighted on the screen with arrows, boxes, etc. Everything is covered including how to save your data sheets, what exercises you should complete, and where and how to send them in to be reviewed by our training staff. Plus, each module comes with an accompanying handout that provides additional details and a place to make notes.
In addition to watching what you’re supposed to do, you’ll also get the philosophy that underpins what you’re learning about. In other words, you won’t just get the “what”, you’ll also get the “why” so you really understand how to get the most out of the program. Once this is completed you’ll be able to review modules at your own pace so you can go as slowly or as quickly as you like. With online training modules, the choice is yours.
Date: Wednesday, July 20, 2011
Last week Intervest Global Live reviewed TriLogics trading on Mondays. Today, with the help of an Intervest Global Live trainer, we’ll review great trading on another day that’s often overlooked: Tuesday. In this case we only have to go as far back as yesterday, the 19th of July. It provides evidence that any day of the week can be profitable for TriLogics owners. In fact, TriLogics owners trading according to the Intervest Global Live guidelines posted on our website could have made over $700 on one race alone. Plus, they would have been done by 2:30pm. You’re starting to like Tuesday’s too, aren’t you?
It all started off—and for savvy TriLogics owners it should have ended—with race BR03 out of Townsville that jumped at 2:25pm. To start with this qualified as a standard Trifecta that didn’t require allowances or exclusions. All you had to do was follow the basic Money Gap selection process: taking 1st place coverage of 50% of the money stopping on a red Money Gap; the same down to 70% for 2nd place; and the same down to 90% for 3rd place. In this case, guidelines recommend taking every runner but the least supported for 3rd.
The most important thing to notice about this race was how clearly the groupings of the runners were displayed for each finish position. When you looked at both the money invested and the Win Dividend it would have been crystal clear to see which group each runner should have been in. It had a positive outcome of $628 as posted on our website and TriLogics owners could have been done for the day with excellent return at 2:30pm.
Hopefully, you took one more step which we have recommended before: checking how the race looked for Percentage Return (PR). As you watched the final updates you would have noticed that BR03 also qualified as a PR race trading with the favourite.
Your first indicator to trade with the favourite (runner #3) is that it was holding more than 25% of the money. In fact, it was holding over 36% of market share. You also would have wanted to include the second favourite (runner #7). Combined, those two runners held nearly 55% of the total money invested on this race. Plus, they each had a red Money Separator. Tip: The best indicator of when to trade PR with the favourite and one other runner is when you have 2 red money separators. In this case TriLogics owners trading according to the guidelines on our website could have pocketed another $107 on this race.
On this race alone TriLogics owners trading according to the guidelines on our website could have pocketed $735 from BR03 alone. That’s a good day for TriLogics and a good day for the letter “t”. Thank you Townsville, TriLogics, and Tuesday.
Date: Wednesday, July 13, 2011
From the comments Intervest Global Live staff have received, we don’t expect a lot of TriLogics owners are enthusiastically shouting “Yes” right now. That’s understandable. Traditionally, Monday and Tuesday are a bit quieter than other days: fewer meetings, fewer races and smaller prize pools. But this past Monday the 11th could have provided TriLogics owners who traded as per Intervest Global Live guidelines with a positive figure of $669. Are you starting to feel the love yet? “TriLogics owners would have had to put in 4 to 5 hours last Monday”, observes one Intervest Global Live trainer, “but they could have gotten an extra $669 for those hours. And by most people’s standards, that’s a pretty good way to start the week.” Making last Monday an even better start to the week was the fact that TriLogics owners who followed the Intervest Global Live guidelines would have been “five for five” on the day. Are we getting a few more “I love Monday” converts?
This past Monday TriLogics owners operating the software would have noticed that the earliest races were coming up with prize pools that were too small to qualify as trading races. That’s not unusual. Mondays and Tuesdays often won’t have pools large enough to qualify until later in the trading day. In the case of last Monday the first six races were under the required $20,000 prize pools for Percentage Return (PR). The first race with a qualifying PR prize pool jumped at 1:30pm. For TriLogics owners trading according to the guidelines on our website they could have profited $150 on that race.
By itself, a $150 profit isn’t anything to get overly excited about. But this was one of those days where there was a little bit of everything. And, all of those “little bits” had, modest but positive outcomes. Added together, that made for a very good day. As some TriLogics owners have learned first hand, it doesn’t take huge profits on individual races to make a good day. Monday the 11th didn’t have a single race where the guidelines would have helped produce a result of $300. (In fact, the strongest outcome was a posting of $280.) But with positive outcomes on 3 out of 3 PR races and 2 out of 2 Banker Trifectas it adds up to a great day overall. It was made even greater considering all TriLogics owners had to do was follow the most fundamental guidelines to go “five for five”.
The key point to take away from this is that any day can produce solid returns. TriLogics owners have told us that by and large the most popular trading days are Wednesday through Saturday. But for owners who are willing to look closely, other days can also produce good profits. You might want to ask yourself if it would have been worth your time to spend four to five hours to make over $650 a couple of days ago. If the answer is yes, then you might want to keep an eye on Mondays and Tuesdays in the future.
Date: Wednesday, July 6, 2011
Just under a week ago Intervest Global Live posted our TriLogics figures for the month. The total was $9,387! That’s a great number for the month, and what a month it was for TriLogics owners. Everyone at Intervest Global Live wants to send out a big thank you to all the TriLogics owners who sent positive comments and updates on their successes. There were some spectacular days, but one Intervest Global Live trainer put it best when he said, “The $1,000+ days are great, but equally good are all the days in between. Let’s face it, having positive outcomes on 19 out of 25 days is the kind of consistency that we really like to see.”
When checking the figures on our website you’ll notice that there were only 6 losing days in the month. In addition to that, there were 10 days with figures of $500 or more and 4 of those showed figures of over $1,000.
The month started off with $1,022 on the 1st, followed by $1047 on the 2nd. One week later, on Thursday the 9th was the best day of the month with a figure posted of $1,332 for the day and that was followed up with $1,139 on Saturday the 18th. The figures from those 4 days alone represented a positive outcome of over $4,500.
In many ways, though, focusing on the spectacular days is missing the main point which is that there was excellent money to be made each and every week of June. In the first two weeks of the month there was only one day each week that showed with negative outcomes and those were only -$203 and -$142, which were far outweighed by the gains in each of those weeks. Focusing on huge days also misses the point that there were a lot of $300, $400, and $500 days. For a lot of people, one day like that per week would make a big difference in their lives.
As well as June went that month is behind us and so we’re looking forward. It’s early in the month, but so far July is starting off well, too. We haven’t yet had any of the giant days where we can post $1,000 figures, but there have been steady days with positive outcomes between $79 and $350. Going back to what our trainer said originally: stringing together a bunch of moderate days isn’t as exciting as making $1,000 in a day, but those positive results, consistently added together, are what lead to great overall earnings for TriLogics owners.
Date: Wednesday, June 29, 2011
June is a great month for TriLogics by Intervest Global Live, and it’s also graduation time for schools in the northern hemisphere. Occasionally the news here in Australia and New Zealand plays excerpts of famous people giving graduation speeches. One pearl of wisdom these celebrities trot out is that 80% of success can be attributed to showing up on time and being ready to go—right from the start! It might be a little corny, but it’s true. At Intervest Global Live we think last Saturday was a perfect example of how that philosophy applies to TriLogics owners. One senior Intervest Global Live trainer put it this way, “Owners who had TriLogics on and were ready from the beginning could have had a fantastic day from the first qualifying race.” He was talking about Trifecta PR02. Let’s take a closer look at what he meant.
Last Saturday the 25th of June was one of those days where TriLogics owners could have really profited by having the software up and running from the beginning of the day. The first qualifying Trifecta race (PR02 from Newcastle, at 12:45pm) qualified under standard Trifecta guidelines. The main thing to remember in this case is to make sure that you cover all runners with similar money for each place—first, second and third.
In the case of PR02, the recommended selections were covering the first three runners (numbers: 8, 7, 6) for first place and the next three runners (numbers: 2, 4, 11) for second and third place. Of course, both of these groups ended on red Money Gaps. We recommend leaving the bottom four runners out completely. With these selections you should have seen a total of 60 combinations.
If you were trading as per the figures and guidelines posted on our website, you could have seen a profit of $648 from this race. But you could only have made that profit if you were ready to trade from the beginning of the day. Our senior trainer says, “So often I hear from owners who start trading halfway through the day. Invariably, they miss out on races that would have helped them early on. I do everything I can to encourage owners to be alert and ready to trade from the beginning of each day they trade.” $648 on the first qualifying race. That’s the perfect way to start and end your day—right from the start.
Date: Wednesday, June 22, 2011
In the movie “Wall Street,” the main character famously says, “Greed…is good.” Although it’s a great movie line, it’s not the philosophy that Intervest Global Live recommends for TriLogics owners. Last Thursday the 16th of June was an example of how Intervest Global Live adheres to the guidelines we recommend to TriLogics owners. We’ll take a look at that as well as a couple of interesting tips regarding trading on that day. The first tip applies to Megafecta and the second to a standard TriLogics Trifecta. Both tips are covered during Intervest Global Live training, but it’s always good to take a fresh look at useful tips.
The first trading race of the day (MR03) should have gotten TriLogics owners off to a good start at 12:02pm. It qualified as a Megafecta and it also provides us with our first tip. In Megafecta we normally require the prize pool to be $8,000 or above but, as in this race, if it is at least $7,000 at the 1-minute mark then our guidelines consider that sufficient. The reason for that is that in most cases at least another $1,000 will flow into the pool during the final minute before the race jumps. In the case of MR03, we stood out #8 to win, selecting down to #9 for 2nd (that covered 80% of market money and ended on a red Money Gap). We also recommend selecting down to the #3 runner for 3rd (which covers 98% of market money while ending on a red Money Gap). According to the guidelines on our website that could have given you a profit of $330.
Just one race later, at 12:37pm, MR04, qualified as a standard Trifecta. As you know, the software selects 50%, 70%, 90%, and it is the client’s obligation to ensure that selections in each of the relevant columns finish on a red Money Gap and cover all of the runners with similar money. In MR04 an owner would be required to add a tick to include the #7 runner for 1st place. That gives a total of 3 selections covering first and second place while covering 70% of market money as well as ending on a red Money Gap. One interesting point to note about those top 3 runners is that although the runners have similar money, there is a spread of approximately $300 between what those three attracted at the one minute mark. The reason for that is if we are going to take the favourite, which attracted approximately $540, then we have to take #7 (the third favourite) which attracted approximately $498.
To round out our selections we recommend covering the rest of the field for 3rd place because there is no red Money Gap to stop on. Tip #2.) When looking at standard Trifectas ask yourself this simple question: When looking at the 1 minute update, do I have all the runners with similar money in the relevant colour groups (green for 1st, yellow for 2nd, blue for 3rd)? If the answer is yes, then you should trade confidently. In this case if you traded according to our website you could have profited $380.
That’s a total of $710 from the first two qualifying races. We recommend stopping at that point, and the figures on our website reflect that. Of course, you have the final decision on whether to stop or not. As it turns out, the very next trading race, BR01, could have been a standard Trifecta winner with a profit of $644 using standard Money Gap selections and trading amounts as posted on our web site. The guy in “Wall Street” would have probably kept trading. What did you decide?
Date: Wednesday, June 15, 2011
Last Saturday the 11th of June had a perfect example of TriLogics trading using Intervest Global Live guidelines for trading with the favourite in Percentage Return (PR) mode. The race was BR03 at 1:10pm. This TriLogics race is valuable to look at because it’s an example of the best case scenario of using the Intervest Global Live PR module to use TriLogics to trade with the favourite. In this case, the percentage of the market money on the favourite is not particularly high, but it still follows the Intervest Global Live fundamental rule that we are definitely covering the strongest runners in the race. In this case it applies not only to the C$ column in your TriLogics software, but also in the updates leading up to the race. Let’s look closer.
BR03 was a great example of trading with the favourite when the favourite holds a fairly low percentage of the market money. In this case the favourite was the number 16 runner and it held 23.5% of the money at the one minute mark. If you also added in the second favourite, runner number 11, you would then achieve the best possible indicators. (More details in a moment.) Remember that we do want to select 2 runners. In this case another key indicator you want to notice is that both the favourite and second favourite have red Money Separators (MS). In this case each runner’s MS was approximately 2, which is a solid MS.
Another important indicator to notice is that the percentage of money the favourite holds at the five-minute mark is 18% of the market share. At the one-minute mark it’s 23.5%. It’s a great sign if you see that one of your selected runners is gaining market share in the minutes before the race jumps. In this case you would have seen an increase of 5.5% of market share in five minutes. That’s a very positive indicator, and that’s the kind of runner you want as one of your selections.
When you combine that with what’s happening in the C$ column, your confidence level should go up even more. In this case the favourite holds approximately $22,000, which is twice what the second favourite is holding—$11,000. Then, look at the the second favourite’s $11,000 and compare it to the runner below (runner #3 holding approximately $4,000). You’ll see that the second favourite is holding approximately 2.5x’s as much as #3. A great sign that we should be including #11 and excluding #3. As one of our trainers puts it, “That’s as good as it gets!”
If you had traded according to our guidelines, and as the figures are posted on our website show, you could have seen a return of $243 on BR03. While you were checking your results you would have also noticed that the top two favourites (runners #16 and #11) came in first and second, as further evidence of how the money they attracted, and when they attracted it reflected their strength.
Date: Wednesday, June 8, 2011
TriLogics Advice Bears Repeating
Last week we highlighted the importance of following Intervest Global Live training and stopping as soon as you hit your daily target. This past Saturday the same situation would have applied for TriLogics owners following Intervest Global Live guidelines. It’s such an important fundamental that we wanted to point out another example of this strategy. The first race of the day qualified as a Percentage Return (PR) race and according to the figures on our website was worth $151. 20 minutes later there was a TriLogics Banker Trifecta that could have added $523 as shown on our website. That’s $674 after less than an hour of running the program if you followed Intervest Global Live guidelines. By any measure that makes for a great TriLogics Saturday with most of the day off. We’ll take a closer look at the races in a moment, but the main point is to stop when you hit your target.
Last Saturday the 4th of June, the first race that qualified was SR01 that jumped at 11:35am. From the beginning it looked like a likely candidate as a PR race against the favourite. “Another good lesson that comes from this race,” says a senior trainer, “is that it’s important to begin collecting data for the first race of the day—you never know what you might miss.”
A few weeks ago we outlined some key indicators to help you trade confidently against the favourite. SR01 ticked most of those “extra” boxes ensuring this favourite was weak enough to trade against. First, it wasn’t sitting on the top of the screen because it was losing late market money to other runners—that’s a good sign. Also, since we are taking a group against the favourite, it was good to see that at least one runner in our group attracted more late market money at the last update. Interestingly, it wasn’t the second favourite (runner #5) that won. Instead, it was a runner a bit further down (#4)—which helped improve the payoff.
After trading SR01, you didn’t have to wait long until the next qualifier came along: PR01 at 11:55am. This race lined up nicely for a Banker with the favourite (runner #1) holding a Win Dividend of $1.70. It’s important to notice that there was no red Money Gap (MG) for 2nd or 3rd, so that meant we had to cover the rest of the field for both places. Fortunately, that still kept us within our 42 combination limit. It also puts us in the great position of scoring a Trifecta as long as the favourite comes in first.
A senior trainer offers us another tip from this race. “When you’re looking at a Banker or Megafecta you need a red MG on the favourite and the bigger the better.” In this case it was red and 4.53. Remember, in Trifecta mode the MG measures the money from all the updates. In PR the Money Separator (MS) only measures it over the last 5 updates—it focuses more on the late money, and that’s the money we want to pay attention to. So, when you switch to PR mode and compare the MS of 4.77 to the MG of 4.53 in Trifecta that gives us added confidence to stand out the favourite.
We’ve said it before, and we’ll say it again: do not under estimate the importance of setting and sticking to a daily target. It’s one of the keys to consistent profits.
Date: Wednesday, June 1, 2011
Saturday the 28th of May provided a great example of why it’s so important to set a daily trading target; stick to it; and stop while you’re ahead. For TriLogics owners who were trading last Saturday, there were 4 races that qualified as Trifecta trading races under Intervest Global Live guidelines. But if you were following Intervest Global Live training, you would have only seen one of those qualifying races. Why? Because the first race could have produced a strong enough outcome that you should have finished trading for the day once the race was over. That first race happened to be a TriLogics Banker Trifecta. More important, if you were trading according to the guidelines on the TriLogics website you could have had a positive outcome of $607 from that first race. “For owners who traded this race it would have been a perfect time for them to pocket their profits and stop trading for the day,” says an Intervest Global Live trainer. He adds, “And there’s another lesson, too, about trading confidently on a Banker Trifecta.” Let’s take a closer look.
At 12:30 on Saturday, race AR01 was the first race that qualified as a Trifecta. As outlined in training, owners should have stood out the favourite—runner #2—to win because it showed a Win Dividend of $1.70 at the 1-minute mark and it had a red Money Gap of 3.24 compared to the second favourite, runner #5. With numbers like that, owners should have been comfortable selecting #2 as the only runner to win. (In a moment, we’ll look at another “confidence booster” for this Banker Trifecta.) To complete your selections, our training guidelines recommend covering down to 96.5% of the prize pool money for 2nd and 3rd place, stopping at the red Money Gap of 3.38. Once you had made those selections you would have had a total of 30 combos—well below the maximum number. If you had placed your trade at that point you would have made your profit of $607 and been done for the day.
Now let’s look at that additional “confidence boosting” info we were talking about a moment ago. Hopefully, you would have been watching AR01 for at least 5 minutes before it was scheduled to jump. If you had, you would have noticed that #2’s Win Dividend dropped quite a bit in the last 3 and one half minutes before trading. It went from $1.90 to $1.70 in that time. That means the late market money was getting more and more confident that #2 would win. In turn, that should have made you even more confident to stand #2 out on its own and trade this as a Banker Trifecta.
As all TriLogics owners should know, our system is designed to provide an excellent return over time—not to win every time. An important part of our system focuses on setting a daily win target and sticking with it. As described on our website, our Trifecta target is a positive outcome of $500 per trading day. In the case of AR01, that target would have been reached on the first qualifying Trifecta. In fact, the next 3 Trifectas didn’t have positive outcomes. But if you had stuck to a $500 win ceiling, you could have been done early with $607 in your account—and you wouldn’t have even known, or cared about the other Trifectas. That’s the smooth and safe way to roll.
Date: Wednesday, May 25, 2011
As all TriLogics owners know, Intervest Global Live has created a number of modules to improve the number and profitability of trading races. But what some newer TriLogics owners might not know is that sometimes a single race can qualify under multiple Intervest Global Live guidelines. That’s exactly what happened last Friday. “Dual qualifying races don’t happen all the time,” says a senior Intervest Global Live trainer, “but when they do TriLogics owners can really benefit.” Let’s take a look at trading on race SR03 and see how you could have traded Trifecta and Percentage Return on the very same race.
On Friday the 20th of May, hopefully you had TriLogics running and were ready to trade around 1:30pm for race SR03. It qualified as a trading race for both standard Trifecta and Percentage Return with the favourite. “Occasionally we’ll be able to double-up using both modules on the same race,” says one of our trainers. “Another thing to remember,” he adds, “is that if you trade at the 1-minute mark you can make both transactions if you wish, remembering that the actual bet process can be completed within 3-4 seconds.” In this particular case, SR03 also happened to jump a couple of minutes late if you needed the extra time. However, you should be ready to trade promptly so you don’t have to count on delayed races. Let’s take a look at the Trifecta module first.
As you were watching the race get closer and closer to the one minute mark you would have noticed that the selections the software made were almost “spot-on” for a standard Trifecta. All you needed to do was add an extra tick for runner #3 for second place. Once you had done that you would have complied with our trading guidelines and seen that you had at least 50% of the money covered for 1st place down to a red Money Gap, 70% covered for 2nd place to a red Money Gap, and 90% covered to a red Money Gap for 3rd place. If that sounds familiar, it should: it’s exactly how it’s covered in training. As displayed on our website, you could have had a positive outcome of $750 on this trade.
Of course, you wouldn’t have known for sure that trade would have a positive result when you placed it, but the best advice we can give is that once you place your trade you should move on to the next step without looking back. The next step we recommend in this case is to switch to the Percentage Return (PR) mode. If, during the lead-up to jump time, you had been keeping an eye on the PR module you would have seen that SR03 was also shaping up to be a PR trading race with the favourite.
Last week we talked about trading against the favourite with PR. This week you should have seen that the best option in this case was to go with the favourite. The main principle is to watch the Cum$ column AND the Money Separator column to ensure that you are supporting the 2 strongest runners in the field. Even before the 1-minute mark, you should have noticed that the top 2 runners held more than 50% of the money. As the 1-minute mark arrived for this race you would have seen that the favourite (runner #1) held approximately $8000, the second favourite (runner #4) held nearly $6000, and the next best supported runner held just under $3000. That’s a big drop down, so you would only want to cover the top 2 runners. To do that you would have cut 2 runners that were “pre-selected” by the software. As with the Trifecta, this was a fairly straight-forward PR trading race. And as shown on our website, we show PR for this race as having a positive figure of $122. That’s a total of $872 from this race alone, which jumped at 1:33pm. Not a bad time to stop, take your profit, and enjoy the rest of the day.
Date: Sunday, May 22, 2011
TriLogics owners who were trading last Friday would have seen the perfect setup for using the Intervest Global Live guidelines for Percentage Return (PR). Not all TriLogics owners may be comfortable trading against the favourite—yet. In an effort to give TriLogics owners more confidence in trading against the favourite, we’ll review the key Intervest Global Live indicators you should check to trade this strategy successfully. “There are four key indicators owners should check when they’re trading against the favourite in PR,” says a senior Intervest Global Live trainer. “The more of these indicators that fit, the more confident you can be.”
“If you’re trading against the favourite, the first thing a TriLogics owner needs to do is make sure the favourite is weak enough to trade against,” says our trainer. “They can do this by checking four indicators on their TriLogics program.” First, the percentage of money that the favourite holds has to be less than 25%. Keep in mind, that the lower that figure drops the weaker the favourite and the riper it is to trade against.
The second indicator TriLogics owners want to check is the position on the screen where the favourite sits. When you’re using the PR module, the software shows the cumulative dollars placed on each runner over the last five updates. That late money (sometimes called, “stable money”) is the important money we want to pay attention to. If the favourite isn’t at the top of the screen, that means it hasn’t attracted the most late money. When betting against a favourite look for one that is lower down the screen.
The third indicator is the favourite’s number in the UDif column. That number indicates the win dividend movement of all runners from the 2-minute mark to the 1-minute mark. A weakening favourite will show a higher win dividend. Look for a positive number in this column—the bigger the better The fourth thing you want to check is the amount of money the favourite has attracted at the last (1-minute) update. Ideally, you want at least 1 of the runners you’ve selected to have attracted more money or at least similar money to the favourite.
Let’s look at our example from last Friday the 13th, SR02. For our first indicator we see that the favourite held less than 15% of the market money—well below the 25% recommendation. Tick box #1. Next, we see that the favourite is not at the top of the screen, but in the second position. Great—tick box #2. For our third indicator we see that the win dividend for the favourite had moved out by 20 cents—that’s good. On top of that, the win dividends for 4 of the 6 runners our guidelines recommend selecting are shortening—the market thinks they are more likely to win. Good, tick the third box. Finally, when looking at the last update column you’ll see that 5 of the 6 runners our guidelines recommend selecting attracted more money than the Fav at the 1-minute mark. Tick the final box—and prepare to trade confidently.
Our guidelines recommended selecting 6 runners to beat the favourite and all our indicators show we have established a strong mathematical advantage to profit on this race. In fact, owners following the guidelines as per our website would have profited on this race. Remember, we don’t claim that these indicators will always make you money. That’s impossible. But TriLogics does give provide a proven edge over time. Even more important, these indicators should give TriLogics owners a great example of what to look for when trading against the favourite in PR. This should increase your confidence—and your TriLogics profits!
Date: Wednesday, May 11, 2011
Intervest Global Live have received a few questions regarding the survey that was recently sent to TriLogics owners. One of the questions focused on the extent to which TriLogics owners used the racing channel to help their trading. To be clear, Intervest Global Live was interested in finding out how many people watch the live horse racing channels available through Foxtel or Austar TV, as a trading tool. Since Intervest Global Live was contacted about this, we thought we would clarify it for TriLogics owners.
Firstly, it’s important to note that watching Sky Channel or any other live horse racing channel on “pay TV” while trading is completely optional. Some TriLogics owners find it helpful, while others may find it distracting. What we can say is that some TriLogics owners have found that this additional tool helps guide their trading in several ways.
The main advantage of watching racing live is that when a race is delayed beyond its scheduled jump time, TriLogics owners can use that extra time and information to their advantage. One way TriLogics owners use it to their advantage is to watch what happens with the prize pool. If a race is delayed and only has $3,000 in the prize pool at the 1-minute mark then it would not be a trading race. If a TriLogics owners were watching the race live on TV and saw that runners were not in the barriers after scheduled jump time they could keep an eye on the prize pool to see if went up enough to make the race a trading race. If it did, they should then go back to their “normal” trading time and place their bets with the combinations that were in place at that time.
Another way to use live TV to enhance trading is to watch what happens with the Win Dividend when a race passes the scheduled jump time. One TriLogics owner put it this way: “If a runner has a Win Dividend of $2.10 (for example) at the 30 second-mark and the race doesn’t jump at the scheduled time, I’ll keep an eye on it. If it then drops to $1.70 or even $1.50, at let’s say a minute or so after scheduled jump time, I’ll go back to the 30-second mark and trade the race as a Banker Trifecta. I’ve made some huge wins doing that.”
One important note that you must remember is that no matter what time you make your decision on how to trade—a minute after scheduled jump, a minute and a half after schedule, etc.—we strongly recommend that TriLogics owners go back to their normal trading time to make the trade. If you normally trade at the 30-second mark go back to that point in the program and execute the trade at that point. If you normally trade at the 1-minute mark, go back and place your trade at that point. We do not recommend placing your trade at the minus 1:30 mark or the minus 1:00 minute mark. Go back to your normal trading time and get the combinations that were available at that point—not the combinations that are available after scheduled jump time. A senior trainer puts it this way, “Everything we post on the web site reflects conditions at the 1-minute mark. Individual TriLogics owners may elect for their trades to be at the 30-second mark—that’s their choice. Hopefully, they will always do it at the same point—even if they’re using information gathered after the scheduled jump time.”
Date: Wednesday, May 4, 2011
There was good news for TriLogics owners in the lead up to the long Easter weekend. Hopefully you followed the Intervest Global Live trading guidelines for Trifecta and were able to make a nice profit using TriLogics on SR03 last Wednesday the 20th of April. “Lately we’ve been talking a lot about Megafecta and Banker Trifecta,” says one of our Intervest Global Live trainers, “but SR03 was a perfect example of how the standard TriLogics Trifecta still produces great results.” In addition to taking a look at that race, Intervest Global Live would like to announce that we’ve made it easier than ever to get a Live TriLogics Demo.
There is no need for any fancy analysis about the 7-10-12 standard Trifecta last Wednesday, SR03. It followed basic training—straight down the line—and that’s the beauty part of it. Of course, you want to know how to use all the tools available to you, but sometimes a race comes along that fits basic selections to a “T”. In fact, at the same time we were writing up a brief news piece on SR03 a fairly new TriLogics user was making a post about the same race on our Facebook page. If you haven’t seen the TriLogics page yet, click here—and don’t forget to hit the “Like” button! Sometimes, that’s the first place an update gets posted. On top of all that, the payoff for SR03 was even better than “normal” for a race like this.
Why was the payoff better than “normal”? Sometimes that happens when one of the top three finishers comes from the bottom of the field—in this case the bottom runner was the number 12 runner. Number 12 had enough support where we had to cover it for third place. “Its overall support level was low enough that its third place finish provided us with a payoff that was about one third larger than a ‘normal’ payoff under these circumstances,” says an Intervest Global Live trainer.
Earlier we mentioned that we have made it easier than ever for people to get a Live Demo of TriLogics. If you go to the TriLogics Demo page on our website you’ll see that we’ve added 2 blue Demo Viewer“buttons” near the bottom of the page. This way, participants can join a Demo with a click of a button. (Click here to have a look.) To get a free, no-obligation demo people still have to register their interest. That way one of our in-house experts can walk them through the process. Once that’s done, they can click the button and enter their personal access code while they’re talking to one of our consultants. If you’re already a TriLogics user, this is a great way for your friends or relatives to see what all the excitement is about. If you haven’t had a Demo yet, just complete the form and when your consultant gives you the word press the blue button and you’ll be on your way!
Date: Wednesday, April 20, 2011
Last Saturday all the news focused on the AJC Oaks and the Doncaster Mile. But as Intervest Global Live often say, those glamour races aren’t always the best money makers for TriLogics owners. That same day, BR02 provided a perfect example of a better TriLogics money-making opportunity—with a TriLogics tip thrown in for good measure. “Not only was it a good Megafecta race,” says an Intervest Global Live trainer, “it was a perfect illustration of how to use Percentage Return to increase confidence in Megafecta trading.” Our Intervest Global Live trainer explains how you can use this tip below.
On Saturday the 16th of April, BR02 looked like a great Megafecta race. But some TriLogics owners tell us they have a bit of trouble committing to Megafecta because they have to stand out a single runner for first place. We understand this, but that thinking can lead to missing out on winning opportunities. To help boost your confidence in these situations our trainers suggest that you briefly switch from the Trifecta screen to the Percentage Return (PR) screen. It only takes a few seconds and it can quickly illustrate how strong a favourite is and why it deserves to be “stood-out” for first place.
Flicking to the PR screen allows you to “double check” the favourite’s strength because the PR screen calculates the dollars invested on the runner over the last 5 updates. This is the perfect “extra info” that can help confirm the decision to stand out a runner for first. Let’s use BR02 as an example.
TriLogics owners using Trifecta would have seen that the race met Megafecta guidelines and that the favourite, runner #2, should have been the one to stand out for first: it had a Win Dividend of $2 and a red Money Gap of 3.1—which qualifies this as a Megafecta race. Plus, at the one minute update it attracted $22,000. Everything looked good, but here’s where some TriLogics owners would feel more confident if they could confirm their decision. To do this, flick to the PR screen. You would have seen that runner #2 had a Money Separation of 3.5—which is enormous. Put a “tick mark” next to your first level of extra confirmation. Next, notice that runner #2 has attracted $35,000 over the last five updates compared to $10,000 for the second favourite. More good news. Go ahead and put a “tick mark” next to your second level of extra confirmation. At this point, you should be confident enough to stand out runner #2 and complete your selections for Megafecta.
Flick back to the Trifecta screen and finish your selections for second and third place as per training guidelines. For those selections, we recommend runners covering greater than 80% to a red Money Gap, as well as those attracting similar money. That takes you down to the #7 runner for second and third. As in training, TriLogics owners would have now covered down to 92% of the money. With those selections, it still qualifies as a Megafecta, and the figures posted on our website show a positive outcome of $355.
Double checking your “extra info” on the PR screen gives some TriLogics owners the confidence they need to make Megafecta trades. If your confidence can use a boost, try this the next time a race fits Megafecta guidelines. After all: confident traders are successful traders. Give yourself every edge to increase you confidence…and earnings.
Date: Wednesday, April 13, 2011
One of the things Intervest Global Live trainers stress to TriLogics clients is the importance of knowing all of the trading strategies. “The reason it’s so important,” says an Intervest Global Live trainer, “is that you never know which strategy is going to give you the best payoff on any given race, day, week, or month.” One week the TriLogics Megafecta strategy might be fantastic and the next week it might be the Standard Trifecta. Last month, it was Percentage Return that was the star trading strategy. One of the best tips we can pass on to TriLogics owners is to learn all of the Intervest Global Live trading guidelines and strategies and be able to use them at a moment’s notice.
TriLogics owners who have been trading regularly during the first quarter of this year would have noticed that March was a great month for the Percentage Return (PR) module. It provided the strongest figures as posted on our website. PR provided a total of 76 positive outcomes from a total of 108 qualifying races, for a strike rate of 70 per cent. As posted on our web site, that represented a positive figure of $3,546. During March, Trifecta had a strike rate of around 60 per cent, putting its positive figure at $2,464, with 31 positive outcomes from 48 races. PR clearly was the stronger strategy for March, but you wouldn’t have wanted to miss out on the benefits of the Trifecta module, either. That’s even more important considering that in January and February it was Trifecta that was “bringing home the bacon”.
It always pays to work on your knowledge and keep your skills sharp in any endeavor if you want to rise to the top – and it’s no different with TriLogics. Intervest Global Live has developed multiple strategies and modules to increase owners’ money making opportunities. It might seem tempting to focus on a few basics, and put the rest to the side, but in the long run that will reduce your ability to profit. Each one of the modules and strategies needs to be studied and used appropriately to obtain the best results. Do yourself a favour and make sure you feel completely comfortable trading all the Trifecta strategies (Standard, Banker Trifecta, Megafecta), as well as with or against the favourite with Percentage Return.
Another important aspect to keep in mind is that building your skills in all areas of TriLogics will build your overall confidence. Ultimately this can help you understand which strategy to deploy and when. Some users fly through the training, do enough to get by, and never again look at their TriLogics training materials. Doing that means you are missing out on the opportunity to maximise your earning potential, which is after all, what the goal is. Working on your weak points and keeping up to speed is absolutely key. Many of the most successful business people and athletes actively seek out their blind spots and weaknesses and work on them. The most successful TriLogics users do that on a regular basis. The last thing you want to do is read in the next newsletter how well things went with the Megafecta (or other strategy) and realise you didn’t have the confidence to effectively use that strategy.
Date: Wednesday, April 6, 2011
Intervest Global Live is always trying to help TriLogics owners by developing new strategies and trading techniques. Equally important for the success of TriLogics owners is to get the very most out of every strategy, and each race you trade. With this in mind, one of our Intervest Global Live senior trainers helped analyse last week’s Percentage Return race BR03 on the 30th of March. “It provides a great lesson for TriLogics owners who want to get the most out of Percentage Return,” says our Intervest Global Live trainer. This race was an example of a “drifting” favourite—one whose support is dropping as the race jump approaches. The principles described below apply regardless of your data source.
As mentioned, the situation we’ll look at involves a favourite with drifting support. This doesn’t happen all the time, nor is it a guarantee of success, but it’s another indicator worth keeping your eye on. In BR03 on that Wednesday the favourite was not at the top of the TriLogics interface at the one-minute mark. Remember, the runner at the top of the screen is always the one that has attracted the most money over the last 5 updates. What usually follows is that the top runner on the screen is also the favourite—the runner with the smallest number in the Win Dividend column. The reason that the favourite is at the top of the screen is that it usually attracts the most amount of money on a consistent basis.
But, when money support for the favourite drifts downward as race time approaches you’ll notice that the favourite is no longer at the top of the screen. If you look for Percentage Return races where this is the case, it can be a good indication that you should trade against that favourite providing it holds less than 25% of the money. It is certainly not always the case, but it’s another indicator that’s worth a closer look.
In BR03 runner #5 was the favourite with a Win Dividend of 3.5, but at the 1-minute mark it was in the third runner from the top. In other words it was attracting the third most amount of money over the last 5 updates—not what you’d normally expect from a favourite. Runners #4 and #2 were both attracting more money, even though their win dividends were both above that of #5. Those were the two runners that were attracting the most late market money. That’s a key bit of information you should take note of. For Percent Return, TriLogics would have selected runners #4, #2, and #1 to beat runner #5. Those selections indicated that a TriLogics owner had an excellent chance at a 70% or greater return. But those are not necessarily the best selections you could have made, even though if you had taken those selections you would have won.
But if you had left out runner #1 you would have done even better. Why leave out #1? Because that runner’s support was far below both #4 and #4. Here’s another way of looking at it. Imagine for a moment that runner #5 wasn’t even on the screen. (And since we’re not selecting it, it’s OK for us to do that for the moment.) If #5 isn’t there, then the top 3 runners would have been numbers 4, 2 and 1. But, considering the amount of money 4 and 2 were attracting compared to #1, there was a huge money separation between runners 2 and 1—it would have had money separation of nearly 2. Certainly large enough to allow you to eliminate runner #1 from your selections. In that case you still would have won, but you would have won more. And that’s the name of the game.
Situations like this are discussed during training, so if you’re a newer TriLogics user be sure to take note. For newer and older users alike we strongly recommend that you check the TriLogics website news section on a regular basis. That’s the place where we recap strategies and tips as they relate to particular races.
Date: Wednesday, March 30, 2011
2011 has started off with great consistency for TriLogics, and consistency is the name of the game. So far this year Intervest Global Live has posted overall figures of $15,381.65 on our web site through the 20th of March. We’ll break down how Intervest Global Live arrived at that figure for TriLogics. Plus, one of our Intervest Global Live trainers will take a look at last week’s Rosehill Guineas and look ahead to this weekend’s $3.5 million Golden Slipper and assess its chances of qualifying as a TriLogics trading race.
Back at the end of February we were very happy to report that we had had posted figures of over $10,000 for the first two months of 2011. That excellent trend has continued with an additional figure of $5,169 added through the 20th of March—$1,771 from Percentage Return and $3,398 from Trifecta. The total figure of $15,381.65 is a combination of all TriLogics modules and strategies. In March alone, that figure includes 7 individual days with figures of $500 or more for each day. Wednesday the 16th shows a total figure of $1,622, with $392.40 coming from Percentage Return and $1,229.60 coming from Trifecta. In other words, all the TriLogics strategies and modules are contributing to the great start to the year.
Last week we took a look at Jimmy Choux, the favourite in the $500,000 Rosehill Guineas, and stated that if four or more of the nominated horses dropped out of the field it might have qualified as a TriLogics trading race. Jimmy Choux did end up winning and by the time the race jumped, the field had dropped to just 13 runners, but it still didn’t qualify as a trading race. The main reason for that was because the number of combinations was too high to provide a good chance of return for TriLogics owners. Another interesting thing to note is that the first red Money Gap didn’t appear until the top 9 horses were covered. In other words, all the top runners were attracting significant money. Even the “Kiwi Wonder” Jimmy Choux couldn’t turn that race into a safe trading race.
“This weekend’s Golden Slipper might end up being the same kind of situation,” says a senior Intervest Global Live trainer. “In a $3.5 million dollar race there are going to be a lot of strong runners and it’s most likely we’re going to get too many combinations for the race to qualify.” The Slipper is slated to be a re-match of the Todman Stakes where the Anthony Cummings trained Smart Missile outpaced the favourite Sepoy. Again, Sepoy is the fixed odds favourite at 3.20 with Smart Missile next at 4.60. At the moment the field stands at 17, which would also disqualify the race. “I would suggest TriLogics owners focus on other races this Saturday,” advises our trainer, “but the important thing is to keep TriLogics on for your best chance to make a profit.
Date: Wednesday, March 23, 2011
Intervest Global Live is looking forward to the second weekend of the Sydney Autumn Racing Carnival. It’s never certain which of the races will end up meeting the Intervest Global Live guidelines and become TriLogics trading races, but we’ll take a look at one of the bigger races. On Saturday we suggest keeping one eye on the festivities and the other on TriLogics. This weekend’s biggest race is the $500,000 Rosehill Guineas in Sydney. An Intervest Global Live trainer says, “It could end up being a TriLogics trading race—but of course we won’t know for sure until Saturday.” At midweek, the early favourites for the Rosehill Guineas are Absolutelyawesome and Jimmy Choux.
As of midweek, twenty 3-year olds had been nominated for the 2000m Rosehill Guineas, but it is possible that four or more will drop out. If the field decreases to 16 or less then it is possible it could qualify as a TriLogics trading race. Although the Guineas is 400m shorter than the AJC Australian Derby, it is considered a good indicator for that much richer $1.5 million race at Randwick held on the 16th of April. The Guineas is also the second of 3 races that make up the Sydney Triple Crown for 3-year olds. These will be exciting races to watch, and will attract top horses but they may not qualify as trading races. Use TriLogics to assess whether they qualify as good trading opportunities.
After this weekend, even bigger and richer races will be held every weekend through Easter: the $3.5 million Golden Slipper, the $2.5 million BMW Stakes, the Australian Derby, the Doncaster and others. It’s fun to watch these races and keep an eye on what the huge names in racing are up to. From past experience, however, Intervest Global Live’s statistical analysis shows that these big name races aren’t necessarily the best races on which to trade. It is more likely that smaller races, run on the same day as these nationally known races, will be the ones that qualify as trading races and which will help you make money. So by all means keep an eye on these races and see if they qualify—the prize pools will certainly be large enough. But if you’re trading to make money, focus first on the data that TriLogics provides and make that your first priority. After TriLogics has helped guide you to races that give you the best chance of profiting, it will be more fun to watch the glamour races.
Date: Wednesday, March 16, 2011
Intervest Global Live is happy to report that last Saturday the 12th of March provided TriLogics users with a perfect learning opportunity. While most punters had their eye on the Newmarket Handicap and the media were talking about the amazing Black Caviar TriLogics owners could have learned a valuable lesson. The lesson didn’t turn a losing race into a winner, but it would have highlighted how there would have been more money in your trading account than you originally thought. A senior Intervest Global Live trainer puts it this way: “A loss is never fun, but if the favourite is a late scratching TriLogics owners need to remember that they get a refund on every trifecta that includes the favourite—and that’s usually a big percentage.” Our Intervest Global Live trainer goes on to add, “There was another great learning opportunity about inclusions and threats a couple days later, too.” We’ll get to that in a minute, but first things first.
The race that provided the “late scratching” lesson was MR03 at Flemington. The guidelines showed that this was a standard Trifecta trading race. Runner #3 was the favourite with a Win Dividend of 2.2 at the 1-minute mark. All indicators showed that #3 was going to be included in most of the Trifecta combinations for TriLogics owners who were trading according to Intervest guidelines. What no one, including the TriLogics software, could have known was that Runner #3 would be a late scratching at the barrier. By the time the horse was scratched your trade would have already gone through—at one minute prior to the race jumping. Therefore, although the race is a loss you wouldn’t have lost your entire trade amount. Instead, you would have gotten a refund on every combination that included runner #3.Tha’ts a total refund of $357 out of a $402 trade. This will be true for every late scratching that is included in your selected combinations. If it’s the favourite, that usually translates to a refund of approximately three quarters of the amount you traded.
A couple of days after that race, on Monday the 14th there was another good lesson to be learned. This one was about inclusions and threats—very important stuff. Used correctly they can help prevent you from losing and help you make more. Coincidentally, this “lesson race” was also MR03. As covered in TriLogics training, it’s critical that you include all threat runners below the Money Gap. If you went with the standard Trifecta selections you would have lost your entire trade amount…and there would have been no late-scratch refunds in this race. But, if you look at the threat runners below the standard Money Gaps it should have been extremely apparent that runner #2 was a threat to runner #4 just above it. If you’re including #4 for first, and you should have been, then you had to include #2 also. (In addition runners #3 and #6 are also probable threats to #4 and should also be included down to the next red Money Gap.)
Once you included these threat runners your number of Trifecta combinations would have gone up to 60 and that’s still within our trading guidelines. More important, by including those threat runners a TriLogics owner could have made $576 if trading according to the guidelines. This shows how important it is to watch and include threat runners. They can easily turn a losing race into a winner and put more money into your account.
Date: Wednesday, March 9, 2011
We just finished a series of live training sessions in Melbourne and word from attendees is they were terrific! One of our Intervest Global Live senior trainers confirmed they were a great success—with people discussing strategies and tips as they filed out at the end. These sessions are geared for TriLogics owners who already have an understanding of the standard Intervest Global Live Money Gap selection process. The main goal of the 3-hour sessions is to give TriLogics owners a fuller understanding of the concepts behind the Intervest Global Live trading strategies. From all reports it worked “big time”! In turn, this understanding builds TriLogics owners’ confidence and helps them trade more profitably. We are planning future sessions, so this is a good opportunity to suggest one for your city. If you would like more information or feel you might be interested contact us on 1800 733 833 or 0800 443 509 or request details at info@trilogics.com.au
“These sessions are a reactivation of an initiative that had been successful in the past,” says our TriLogics trainer. “In these sessions we look behind the obvious. This way, TriLogics owners know why they’re following the guidelines. When they know the ‘why’ behind the ‘what’ they are more likely to trade profitably.” He goes on to add that this additional training carries a nominal fee and is optional. “These are small groups sessions with everyone participating, and from what I’ve heard people feel they provide excellent value.”
One attendee told us he’d “recommend it 100% to any TriLogics owner”, and that he plans to attend next year’s session, too. He went on to add that he particularly enjoyed being in a small group, exchanging ideas and asking questions. “It was terrific for my confidence. That was one of the main things,” he added. Confidence building is one of the most important benefits of attending the tutorials.
One example of a topic that was covered and well received was the philosophy behind the Money Gap (MG) procedure. “In one instance, a large MG might be a positive and in another it might be a negative,” says our trainer. “In and of itself a red MG is just a number. What is important to know is what happens regarding money-flow that creates the MG. When you have a better understanding of that you will operate TriLogics more successfully than following the guidelines by rote.”
The sessions run approximately 3 hours, and usually have about 3-5 TriLogics owners per session. The small groups make it easier to interact with the trainer and with other attendees. This is not a replacement of the free training available on the phone. We’ve designed it for people who have completed their phone training and want to move up to the next level. Please contact us if you would be interested in attending a session near you. For more info call 1800 733 833 or 0800 443 509 or email us at info@trilogics.com.au
Date: Wednesday, March 2, 2011
The first 2 months of 2011 have started off very strong for TriLogics by Intervest Global Live. If you’ve been checking the figures posted by Intervest Global Live on our website you’ve seen that we are already up to $10,058.60. Intervest Global Live hope you’ve been taking advantage of all the great TriLogics trading days. We’ve been talking to people about starting this year off on the right foot with TriLogics and 2011 is coming along right on schedule with the Trifecta module, including Banker and Megafecta, accounting for over $3,600 in January and over $5,800 through the 24th of February.
If you’ve been reading the latest reports in our News Section you would have seen plenty of great individual days discussed. We’ll took a closer look at a couple of those days later in this month’s newsletter.( If you haven’t gotten your copy, Click Here and put Newsletter in the subject line.) One trading day we haven’t talked about yet was last Wednesday the 23rd of February. Between Trifecta—which has been fantastic during all of January and February—and Percentage Return we posted a combined total of $1328.40 for last Wednesday. Let’s take a closer look at how the day could have gone if you were trading according to our guidelines.
Of that $1328.40 posted on our website last Wednesday $783.40 would have come through the Percentage Return module and $545.00 would have come through Trifecta. By the way, that breakdown shows why it is so important to use all the strategies in both modules. The first 2 trading races were Percentage Return (PR) and they were up and down. Then the next 2 were Trifecta and they too were up and down with an overall positive figure of about $49 at this point. That was when things really got interesting.
The next trading race was MR04, a PR race where we show a positive outcome of $229.60 followed by a positive outcome of $482.00 with Trifecta at BR04. At that point a TriLogics owner might have been happy to call it a day with over $760 in their account. If you had done that you would have been in good shape and had a good chunk of your Saturday to go out and enjoy the day. But if you had decided to continue and follow the guidelines as outlined in training the next 4 PR races could have been winners helping to bring you to over $1300 for the day. Whichever way you had gone, it could have been a great day!
Date: Wednesday, Febuary 23, 2011
Normally Intervest Global Live does not talk about races that do not qualify as TriLogics trading races. However, there are exceptions. According to Intervest Global Live trainers MR06 on the 19th of February is one of those exceptions. “Last Saturday Black Caviar demolished the rest of the field in the Lightning Stakes at Flemington,” said a senior Intervest Global Live trainer. “It was an amazing stand out favourite and I was hoping the race might be a Banker or Megafecta.” Unfortunately the dollars on the favourite were in ‘the red’ so TriLogics owners who followed the guidelines would have taken a pass and not traded that race. But Black Cavier will be back on the track soon and she may be able to help TriLogics owners make some money next time out. She is one of the top sprinters in the world and due to her results in the Lightening Stakes she is now a $1.35 favourite to win the Newmarket Handicap on the 12th of March. TriLogics owners should keep an eye out for that race.
On the Wednesday before the race, it was clear that Black Caviar was the stand out favourite. In fact, according to Racing and Sports - www.racingandsports.com.au out of $37,000 punters invested on Wednesday, all but $900 of that was put on Black Caviar. In coming days it was clear that it would be a match race between Black Caviar and Hay List with the rest of the field fighting it out for 3rd place. As it turned out those two were the top two finishers with Black Caviar far out in front of Hay List in 2nd and Warm Love coming in 3rd place.
The win dividend for Black Caviar was $1.30 and $4.90 for Hay List. Over the last 5 updates Black Caviar attracted $42,500 while Hay List attracted $13,000. The $1.30 Win Dividend was just too low to justify trading on the race with the Trifecta module or the Banker or the Megafecta. As for the Percentage Return – there just wasn’t enough profit to justify trading with that module either.
Still, as mentioned earlier it is worth keeping your eye on both Black Caviar and Hay List on the 12th of March when they meet again at Flemington in the Newmarket Handicap. Black Caviar appears unbeatable and in fact Hay List’s trainer has basically said the same. However, if the guidelines are met, Black Caviar would be the kind of runner you may want to stand out in her next race!
Date: Wednesday, Febuary 16, 2011
Lately Intervest Global Live has reported fantastic days with TriLogics Megafecta and Banker Trifecta. This past Saturday the 12th of February it was the Percentage Return module that would have been the main driver for TriLogics owners trading that day. As posted by Intervest Global Live trainers, Percentage Return showed 9 positive outcomes out of 13 qualifying races that day. “Even better than that,” says a senior Intervest Global Live trainer, “the first 6 qualifying Percentage Return races should have been winners for any TriLogics owner using the software that day.” So, for owners sticking to daily targets it could have been a $700 day from Percentage Return. He goes on to add that the Percentage Return racing had other important lessons for TriLogics owners.
The 9 out of 13 figures posted on our website for Saturday the 12th of February represent a 69% strike rate. But as mentioned earlier, the better news was that the first 6 races would have been winners and if your daily target is under $700 you would have been better getting out while you were ahead after the first 6 races. Last Saturday shows, as is so often the case, that if you had traded PR for the entire day you would not have ended up as well as if you had gotten out while you were ahead. Again this shows the importance of trading to a daily target and stopping when you achieve it. By most people’s standards, $400-$700 should be a good day. How important is that rule? Consider this: The last of the 6 winners was BR05. After BR05, 4 of the next 7 lost. To make things even better all of those races followed the standard Percentage Return guidelines set out in Intervest Global Live training.
There were also four Trifecta races that qualified as trading races on Saturday, too. Of those four, two could have been winners for TriLogics owners trading according to the guidelines and two could have been losers. Overall, for owners trading according to guidelines, those four races could have resulted in a fairly small loss, which would have been more than offset by the Percentage Return trading. This points out another good reason to make sure you are using all the tools TriLogics offers: If one module isn’t performing, you have other strategies to try—and they’re just a few mouse clicks away.
Our senior trainers also pointed out additional lessons that should be taken away from the Percentage Return trading last Saturday. First, if you’re going to trade against a favourite in Percentage Return make sure it’s a weak favourite. There is not enough room here to fully discuss the guidelines for determining if the favourite is weak enough to trade against, but it’s all laid out in your training materials. In Percentage Return if you’re trading with the favourite the main goal is to make sure you establish a strong group. As a general rule, remember that you will almost never have more than 3 runners in this group. In almost every case as soon as you add that fourth runner your profit potential falls through the floor, and the race isn’t worth trading. Another thing to keep in mind with Percentage Return is that you only need a bigger money separator when you have selected the minimum number runners. When you have a group of 3 runners the Money Gap does not have to be the standard 1.7. With 3 runners in your group your Money Gap can be 1.6 or even 1.5.
When you’re trading make sure to use all of the modules and strategies, because there’s no way of knowing in advance which is going to provide the best results on that particular day. The multiple modules and trading strategies are one of the great strengths of TriLogics—use them to your advantage!
Date: Wednesday, Febuary 9, 2011
The solid performance of the TriLogics Megafecta and Banker Trifecta strategies, developed by Intervest Global Live, continues. “We’ve had some perfect examples of success with these newer TriLogics strategies,” says a senior Intervest Global Live trainer. “There were 4 great examples over the last few days,” he adds. This should be good news for any TriLogics owners who have been trading with these strategies. Also, for any owners who are still holding back on using these strategies, these successes should increase their confidence in these newer Intervest Global Live trading guidelines. Let’s take a quick look at the specific races and explore some tips that should help all TriLogics owners.
Two of the best examples of Banker and Megafecta took place on Saturday the 5th of this month. The first Trifecta trading race of the day was SR01 at Rosehill that jumped at 1:08pm. The number 1 runner was a stand out favourite that was a perfect candidate for a Banker Trifecta. It had a 1.5 Win Dividend and a red Money Gap of 3.2. To give traders further confidence, that stand out favourite attracted 3 times the amount of money as the next-best supported runner ($27,000 vs $9,000) over the last 5 updates. Owners following the guidelines should have then taken all but the least-supported runner for 2nd and 3rd place, and covered 98.5% of the money. They could have then had a $458 profit on a $400 trade.
A mere 40 minutes later the next trading race, SR02, provided a perfect Megafecta opportunity. The favourite showed a Win Dividend of 1.8 and a red Money Gap of 2.83. In this case, the favourite stood out even more than the earlier race: it attracted nearly 4 nearly times the amount of money as the next-best supported runner ($34,000 vs $9,000). To adhere to the guidelines owners should have also covered 83.5% of the money for 2nd place and 94.5% of the money for 3rd place. Note: there was clear money separation between those two groups, so there should have been little doubt about ensuring that all of the runners in each group were attracting similar money. Interestingly, the figure on our website for this race also happened to be a positive $458—identical to the figure for the previous trading race. That’s a total of $900 for a short day! It’s important to note that the next Trifecta trading race, BR03, was a loser. This points out the importance of having a realistic daily target and stopping when you reach it.
Another tip you can take away from this is to use one module to help you trade another. In this case if you flip to the Percent Return module you can get a cumulative total of the amount of money the runners are attracting over the last 5 updates. The Trifecta module only shows the money attracted at the individual updates. But if you really want to see just how far out front that stand out favourite is, quickly click on the Percent Return tab and check the cumulative total.
As good as all this Megafecta and Banker Trifecta news is, that isn’t the end! Friday the 4th also had a Banker Trifecta at 1:00pm (PR02) with a positive figure of $916 posted on our website, and Monday the 7th saw another positive Megafecta at SR02. TriLogics owners who followed the guidelines on that race could have made a $502 profit on a $400 trade. That’s over $2300 from 5 races. Hopefully, these figures will help all TriLogics owners—especially those who haven’t yet taken advantage of the money making opportunities of the Banker or Megafecta strategies.
Date: Wednesday, Febuary 2, 2011
Intervest Global Live has been talking about TriLogics Megafecta strategy quite a bit recently, and with good reason: the strategy has been providing excellent results of late. There are a few subtleties TriLogics owners need to keep in mind regarding the Intervest Global Live guidelines for both Megafecta and Banker Trifecta. “They’re not difficult to understand,” says an Intervest Global Live senior trainer, “but TriLogics owners will do better over the long run if they pay attention to the overall goals of the strategy and apply the guidelines as trained.”
Just a few weeks ago we looked at perfect examples of a Megafecta and a Banker Trifecta that occurred on the same Saturday. Today, we’ll look more closely at the importance of “going wide” and providing yourself with extra protection when it comes to trading using Megafecta. Last Saturday the 29th of January, race MR03 at Sandown provided a perfect illustration of why Intervest Global Live trainers encourage TriLogics owners to remember that a key element underlying Megafecta strategy is to cover all runners holding similar money in the lead up to the race, for the same places. Let’s look at the specifics of MR03.
The #3 runner was a clear favourite with a Win Dividend of 1.8 AND a red Money Gap of 2 or more. In this case #3’s Money Gap was 3.39—that’s a very strong favourite. Making it even stronger was the fact that it attracted $12,300 at the 1-minute mark, where the next strongest runner only attracted $3,600. OK, so we’ve got our stand out favourite and the next step is to choose our 2nd and 3rd place finishers.
If a TriLogics owner doesn’t remember the underlying strategy of the Megafecta (to identify a single stand out favourite for first AND cover at least 80% of the money for 2nd place, while ending on a red Money Gap) they might be tempted to choose only the next 3 runners for 2nd place (runner numbers 2, 6, and 7), and stop at the red Money Gap at number 7. Then they would choose the next 3 runners (runner numbers 5, 4, and 1) to the next red Money Gap for 3rd place. In fact, if a TriLogics owner would have done that they could have made over $1,000 profit on the race—compared to the $524 figure we have posted on our website. In the short-run that looks like the wise trade, but our guidelines are based on analysis of hundreds of races and in the long-run you will do better to go wide in these kind of situations and give yourself extra protection.
How and why would a TriLogics owner do that? Very simply. First, when you are ticking the runners for 2nd place you should note that the middle runner of that 3 horse group (#6) only attracted $1,500 at the 1-minute mark compared to the $3,000+ that each of the other horses for 2nd place attracted (runners 2 and 7). If we look at the group of 3 runners that should have been chosen for 3rd place (runners 5, 4, and 1) we see they are each attracting $1,000-$1,900 at the one minute mark. So if you are prepared to take runner #6 (which only attracted $1,500) for 2nd place, then you should also be willing to protect yourself by covering all the runners down to the number 1 runner for 2nd place.
Once you have done this you would have covered 97.21% of the money instead of 81.33% of the money—and in both cases, remember you are still ending on a red Money Gap, which is an important part of the guidelines. As we mentioned, this would have cost you $500 on this one race, but in the long-run our statistical analysis indicates you are better off “going wide” in situations like this. More importantly, the figures posted on our website are a positive $524 for that first trading race of the day—and that’s a perfect way to start and finish fast with a good result.
Date: Thursday, January 27, 2011
This past Saturday, 22nd of January, was a great day for both the TriLogics Banker Trifecta and the Megafecta modules. What made it extra sweet was that Saturday is one of the most popular trading days for TriLogics owners. “There were two races that were the best examples of Megafecta and Banker Trifecta as you will ever see,” says one Intervest Global Live senior trainer. “When a TriLogics owner sees numbers like these, there’s no reason for them to be concerned about trading a Megafecta or Banker Trifecta,” adds another Intervest Global Live trainer. And they’re right. As long as a user adheres to the guidelines Intervest Global Live teaches, Megafecta and Banker Trifecta both provide great opportunities for making outstanding returns.
The first example we are referring to is the Banker Trifecta opportunity in race BR02 at 2pm. The figures posted on our website for this race are $435. For TriLogics owners trading on this race, at the levels described on our website, a win like that would have represented a return of over 100%. One of the specific numbers that show that this race was an ideal Banker Trifecta is its Win Dividend of 1.5 for the favourite. In addition, at the 1 minute update the favourite attracted $16,000 while the next runner attracted only $3,000. That’s a perfect case of a “stand out” favourite. Finding a runner like that is the key to using the Banker Trifecta. To make trading on this race even more favourable, the coverage for the 2nd and 3rd place runners covered 95% of the market money. That’s a solid trading opportunity by any standard.
Finding a “stand out” favourite is also the key to using the Megafecta strategy. In this second example, we are referring to using the Megafecta strategy in race MR04. The Win Dividend on the favourite in this race was 1.9. Strengthening it even more was the fact that it attracted $15,000 at the 1 minute update, while the next closest runner only attracted $2,500 at that same point. That’s a huge, and important difference! For owners who stuck to the guidelines they should have also taken runners for 2nd and 3rd place and would have covered 95.5% of the market money. The figure posted on our website for this race was a positive $803. For TriLogics owners who made these trades at the $400 level that could have provided over $1,200 from those two races alone.
As good as that $1,200 number looks; the most important point to take away from this is to have confidence in the system and be ready to “stand out” a single favourite when the numbers back it up. “Sometimes TriLogics owners are hesitant to only pick one runner for first. Hopefully these races help show that when the numbers are right, they shouldn’t be afraid to use the Banker Trifecta or the Megafecta to ‘stand out’ a single favourite,” says our senior trainer. It could very well lead to results that really are outstanding.
Date: Wednesday, December 8, 2010
Intervest Global Live recently received requests for clarification about race analysis that appeared in December’s TriLogics newsletter. They were good questions, which showed that some TriLogics owners keep a close eye on the trading guidelines Intervest Global Live has developed. It’s likely that other TriLogics owners would have the same or similar questions. Today, Intervest Global Live trainers explain these races in more detail. Even if you didn’t trade on these particular races, there are lessons here that can help you make more money when you’re looking at races in the future.
The requests for clarification were mainly about trading on Saturday the 20th of November. The first two questions regarded CR03 Percent Return and BR01 Trifecta. Both of these fall under the category that one of our senior trainers calls the “Good Judgment” approach. In CR03 one of our readers was asking about the MS column when trading WITH the favourite. When you are trading to include the favourite in Percent Return it is crucial to remember what we’re trying to achieve in this situation: Your goal is to cover the strongest runners while keeping the Percent Return at a minimum of 50%. It does not matter what percentage the favourite holds. We are going for a strong GROUP. In this case you would have wanted to include the number 9 runner because it was part of the group that would have given us our desired return (50% or above).
Part 2 of the “Good Judgment” approach refers to using the TriLogics advantage of being able to see exactly where the money is flowing—in real time, right up until the race jumps. We must use this advantage to effectively leverage TriLogics. In race BR01 the way the money was flowing dictated that we use inclusions, (as discussed in training), to cover “threat runners”. This race is a perfect example of when you should NOT stop at 50% and a Red Money Gap.
If you did stop your selections there you would not be using the “Good Judgment” approach, because there are 3 runners below the Red Money Gap with money flowing to them that is very similar to the runners at or above the Red Money Gap. If you’re going to tick the first group for first, then you have to also include those “threat runners”. The group must include all runners that have attracted similar money. When you include those “threat runners” the exceeds the maximum number of combinations and becomes a non trading race. Sometimes including “threat runners” prevents the race from being a trading race. If that’s the case resist the urge to force it into becoming a trading race.
The other race worth discussing further is SR04. In this case a TriLogics owner asked why it was considered a trading race if the low dollar multiple came up as $13.50 and our instructions call for a minimum of $20. What’s important to recognize here is that the $20 minimum in our guidelines applies when trading 400 units at $1 per unit, in other words a $400 trade. In this case, it appears the TriLogics owner was trading 400 units at 50 cents each for a total trade of $200. Because the trade is half the amount in our guidelines, the low dollar multiple required is also half: $10 instead of $20. With a $200 trade the $13.50 low dollar multiple was above the $10 minimum. Please remember to make that conversion so you don’t miss out on trading races that can be profitable.
The most important thing to remember is that the strategies we have just discussed apply to many TriLogics races—not just those mentioned here. To recap: make sure to convert low dollar multiples to reflect different trading amounts; ensure you include “threat runners” when necessary; keep the overall goals of the specific modules in mind when you’re trading. If you are unclear on any of these concepts we recommend you review the training modules or contact us for a refresher course.
Date: Wednesday, December 1, 2010
December is here and if you haven’t already been thinking about Christmas and gift giving the advertising industry is going to start trying to change that. In all fairness, this is a pretty good time of year to do some shopping. We are noticing that a lot of TriLogics customers are starting to take advantage of electronics sales and treat themselves or loved ones to new computers. Of course you can always install TriLogics on your new PC, but the latest PCs now use the Windows 7 operating system (OS) and you need to install TriLogics properly so it works with this OS. Intervest Global Live have posted proper installation instructions on the members section of the website to help out with this. Intervest Global Live strongly urge you to read these instructions before you install TriLogics on your new computer. If your new PC uses Windows 7, and virtually every new PC now comes with that operating system pre-loaded, you cannot install TriLogics on it using an older installation CD. If you have a new computer, Intervest Global Live requests that you check the members section for installation instructions. Please note this info was posted when Windows 7 came out so it is not at the very top of the Members page. Instead, scroll down to the section entitled: Full TriLogics Installer for Windows Vista and Windows 7 now available. You can do a proper installation there.
“If an owner tries installing TriLogics onto a computer that uses a Windows 7 operating system with their older install CD, it’s not going to work,” says the manager of Intervest Global Live’s tech department. “If they have already tried to install it that way, then they are going to have to un-install several files before they can download the latest version of TriLogics and use it properly.” It’s important to take note of this: to properly install TriLogics on a Windows 7 computer, please login to the members section of the website and use the Full TriLogics Installer posted there. To complete this process TriLogics owners will also need their activation code. If you are unsure about your activation code please contact our technical support department and they can provide it for you.
While you are in the members section have a look at the Megafecta guidelines, which were just released last month. Of course, Megafecta doesn’t provide winners every day, but it certainly increases the number of trading races and opportunities to make money through the Trifecta module. It’s been out for nearly a month and it’s provided some great opportunities to improve winnings. If you’re not yet familiar with it, now is a great time to check it out. It’s not difficult, and all the new guidelines are available online, so you don’t need extra training, either. Finally, remember to check the members section as we get closer to the holiday. We’ll post our holiday hours there as soon as they are finalized.
Date: Wednesday, November 24, 2010
Saturday the 20th November was a great day for owners of TriLogics by Intervest Global Live. The Saturday before, TriLogics owners could have gotten in and out very quickly with some great profits if they had followed the Intervest Global Live guidelines and Daily Target. This past Saturday the potential winnings would have taken longer to make, but the extra hour and a half or two hours could have been well worth it. If you had adhered to the $500 Daily Target and followed the other guidelines taught during training by Intervest Global Live trainers you could have had a fantastic day. How fantastic? We show figures of over $1700 for the day. TriLogics owners who were following the same guidelines last Saturday could have seen great numbers like that for themselves, too—hopefully you were in that category. Plus, those figures came from the first 4 qualifying races, using Megafecta, Banker Trifecta, and Percent Return strategies.
The first qualifying race last Saturday was AR02 and it jumped at 1:30pm. The best outcome on that race would have come from using the Banker Trifecta strategy If you had followed the guidelines as taught, that race could have produced great results. Our posted figures for that race are $458. About an hour later Race CR03 qualified under the Percent Return guidelines. It showed a positive outcome of $26.50—nothing spectacular, but every little bit helps. About 15 minutes later, at 2:40pm, race MR04 also qualified as a Percent Return race. That race shows a negative figure of -$200. Those races will happen, so that’s nothing to worry about. Also, at that point Intervest Global Live’s total figures are still a positive $284. The next qualifying race, which was just 20 minutes later—SR04 at Rosehill—qualified as a Megafecta race. Our figures for that race show a positive outcome of $1427.40, for a total of $1711.90 for the 4 races. What a way to end a Saturday!
It did take until shortly after 3pm to achieve these figures, but it’s hard to complain about them. Yes, it would be great if you could make $1700 by 1:00pm so you’d have plenty of daylight left to enjoy a great day, but it doesn’t always work out that way. If you had been operating TriLogics and matched these numbers we can’t imagine anyone grumbling about $1700 on a Saturday afternoon. It’s also interesting to notice that the biggest figures came from some of our recently added strategies. The Megafecta, which is the newest strategy, produced the best figures: over $1400 from 1 race! That’s why Intervest Global Live are constantly testing and implementing new strategies and upgrades. It is all done with the goal of giving TriLogics owners more qualifying races with more opportunities to make money. Hopefully you were trading TriLogics and had a financially rewarding Saturday.
Date: Wednesday, November 17, 2010
Last Saturday was a perfect day for TriLogics owners who are after some fast money on the weekend. Although there were plenty of races that qualified as trading races on the 13th of November, it’s not the number of races that should grab your attention. It’s the timing. If you look at the full data sheet of qualifying Trifecta races for that day you’ll see that there were 8 trading races. Of those 8 races, 5 would have been winners and 3 would have been losers for owners who followed the Intervest Global Live guidelines. On the face of it that sounds pretty good. However, that’s only part of the story—and not the best part, either. The part of the story Intervest Global Live hopes you noticed was the ability to get in and get out quickly, with a good profit in your pocket. If you were following the basic TriLogics guidelines that Intervest Global Live use when we post our figures on the TriLogics website you could have finished your Saturday with over $650 in your pocket by 1:00pm.
In addition to being able to make some great money on the first qualifying Trifecta, there are two important points to take away from last Saturday’s trading. The first one is the importance of having a reasonable daily target or profit ceiling and adhering to it. The second one is that getting in and getting out quickly is important—especially if you’re trying to make extra money on the weekends. After all, one of the reasons people use TriLogics is to be able to make extra money outside of normal working hours. On a day like last Saturday, you could have pocketed $652.80 and still have had most of the afternoon free to do what you really enjoy.
As part of our training, we advise TriLogics owners to set a daily target and stick to it. When we’re posting our figures on the website our daily target for Trifecta is $500. We strongly recommend that you establish your own daily target. When you reach that amount of winnings, no matter when you hit that—even if it’s the first qualifying race of the day—you stop. Period. In this case the first qualifying Trifecta was AR01. This race only required TriLogics owners to apply the standard Money Gap selections. For owners who followed our basic guidelines and traded this race at $400 they could have been looking at a $650 profit. That’s well above our daily target for Trifecta and would have represented a great return for a couple hours of using the program. It’s the perfect example of “get in and get out”.
Stopping after a solid early profit is especially important for TriLogics owners who use the software to make extra money on weekends. We have heard from some weekend operators that they are happy with $400-$500 for the weekend. Well, those people would have loved last Saturday—as long as they had a reasonable daily target and stuck with it.
Date: Wednesday, November 10, 2010
Intervest Global Live has just released the “Megafecta” strategy upgrade, and it’s at no extra cost to all TriLogics owners. After months of back testing by Intervest Global Live experts—a team that includes senior trainers, our tech team, and a PHD in statistics—we’ve concluded that the new Megafecta strategy can add to the money making capabilities of TriLogics owners. (Full details of how much it can help are on the “TriLogics in Action” section of the website.) Intervest Global Live developed this strategy in an effort to balance risk management and the return on your dollar invested.
As one senior trainer puts it, “The Megafecta extends the Banker Trifecta to races where the favourite is strong, but not quite as strong as the Banker.” The Megafecta does two great things for TriLogics owners: 1.) it allows more races to qualify as trading races, and 2.) it helps TriLogics clients make more money over time—and those 2 things are what TriLogics is all about. Basically, it applies to runners that have a 1.8-2.0 Win Dividend AND a Money Gap of 2 or more. Full details are in the members section of the TriLogics website. Let’s take a look at a race from last weekend that was a potential Megafecta trading race and look at whether the new strategy was the best one to use.
One example took place on Saturday the 6th of November, Race MR03. Race MR03 qualified as both a Megafecta and a standard Trifecta race. So one question might be, “which strategy do I use”? To help make that decision Intervest Global Live trainers recommend that TriLogics users use the cashflow to help decide which strategy to use. In this race, considering the similar amounts of money flowing to the top 3 favourites, it’s prudent to go with the standard Trifecta process taking the #3, #5, and #1 runners for both first and second. With the Megafecta, you would only take the #3 runner for 1st. It’s important to note that just because the race qualifies as a Megafecta, doesn’t mean that strategy is the best choice. In fact, the figures on our website show that using the standard Trifecta strategy on that race could have resulted in a positive outcome of over $700. Plus, that race jumped within the first hour and a half of the trading day, so that could have led to a very short but very profitable session. The Megafecta strategy would not have resulted in a positive outcome, because it wasn’t the right time for this strategy. With other races, the opposite will be true, and the cashflow will point to Megafecta as the right way to go.
The best guidance on which strategy to use is to follow the money and decide which tool is the right one given the circumstances. Intervest Global Live is all about choice—TriLogics gives you the choice to trade when it suits you, and it gives you the choice to use a strategy that is right for the circumstances. We encourage all TriLogics owners to use the advantage we hold over punters—which is the ability to see where the money is going, in real time, every minute in the lead-up to a race—and use the strategy that fits.
In general, the standard Trifecta is a more conservative strategy than the Megafecta. For more info on Megafecta, login to the members section of the website and go to Downloads—full details are provided there. The Megafecta strategy is not complicated so you do not need retraining, but our testing shows it can result in significantly increased earnings. Have a look at the details on the members section so you can add Megafecta to your “toolkit”. If you’re not yet a TriLogics owner, contact one of our consultants on 1800 733 833 or 0800 443 509 in NZ to find out how Megafecta can increase your money making opportunities.
Date: Wednesday, November 3, 2010
Yesterday’s Melbourne Cup was an exciting race, with a bit of a surprise winner—especially given the pre-race hype surrounding So You Think. Intervest Global Live will take a quick look at how the race looked when using TriLogics. Also, Intervest Global Live just got back from the Sydney Trading and Investing Expo where our TriLogics booth was a huge success—thanks to everyone who stopped by! As part of the Expo, we conducted Live Demo sessions hosted by one of Intervest Global Live’s trainers and a senior TriLogics consultant. They turned out great and we’re planning sessions for other major cities in Australia and New Zealand. Let’s look quickly at the Cup as viewed by TriLogics and review some Expo highlights.
As is always the case, this year’s Melbourne Cup did not qualify as a trading race with TriLogics, however the logic of the Money Gap process was still sound. TriLogics owners following the Money Gap process would have noticed that the #8 runner (eventual winner, Americain) was the last runner to have been included in the group of 5 runners (out of a field of 23) selected for first place. That group ended on a Money Gap of 1.6, and the inclusion of Americain in that group—especially as the last runner with a mathematically sound chance of winning—highlights the logic behind TriLogics Trifecta module.
Less of a surprise than So You Think’s third place finish in “The Cup” was the great success TriLogics enjoyed at the Sydney Trading and Investing Expo. Not only were we the only horse racing software company that was invited to join the Expo after the organizers had explored our successful track record, but in addition our off-site Demo sessions were so well received that we are planning them for other cities. If you would be interested in attending a Live Demo session in your area—with TriLogics experts operating the program—please contact us at info@TriLogics.com.au and we can advise you when we’ll be in your area.
We had a lot of good conversations with people searching for ways to add additional streams of income to their current cashflow situation. Several of the things that were brought up repeatedly included the fact that TriLogics is a genuine alternative to share trading or Forex. It was pointed out that with many of the share trading programs a large amount of capital was need to generate relatively small returns. Attendees found it refreshing to hear that we recommend they fund their trading account with only $3000, compared to huge amounts with share trading programs. Also, many liked TriLogics possibility of much larger returns, as a percentage of the amount put at risk, compared with share trading.
Another area where TriLogics came out on top compared to many of the share trading and foreign exchange programs was the fact that with TriLogics there’s no expensive additional training. Plus, there are no fees that need to be paid to Intervest on an ongoing basis as is the case with some foreign exchange and share trading programs. Expo visitors told us it was refreshing to learn that the initial investment in TriLogics included all training and that no ongoing fees were required.
Probably the most talked about benefit of the Live Demo sessions was that attendees enjoyed being in the same room with people who really knew TriLogics so they could ask questions as the program was operating. If you’re not already a TriLogics owner and you would be interested in attending a Live Demo session in your area contact us on 1800 733 833 in Australia or on 0800 443 509 in New Zealand to get details on a demo in your area.
Date: Wednesday, October 27, 2010
As the Spring Carnival moves closer to Melbourne Cup Day Intervest Global Live has been looking at some of the big races in the lead-up. Many have been interesting, but most haven’t qualified as TriLogics trading races. That’s OK, as it it’s expected and there are plenty of other trading races. This past Saturday’s Cox Plate changed that trend. Not only did the Cox Plate fit all the Intervest Global Live criteria to be a trading race, but it also could have been a winner if you were using TriLogics. In fact, a senior Intervest Global Live trainer says, “Last Saturday’s Cox Plate would have been perfect for anyone using TriLogics—the selections were as plain as could be.” And according to TriLogics figures we post on our website, the Cox Plate was positive to the tune of $286. That’s a very good result considering that the strong favourite won as everyone expected.
One of the first indications that the Cox Plate might qualify as a trading race was the size of the field. With just 10 runners, it was a much smaller field than many of the other Spring Carnival “glamour races”. The other indicator that made it a likely candidate for the Banker Trifecta strategy was that it had a red-hot favourite. In some ways, the favourite—So You Think, trained by the legendary Bart Cummings—defines what a red-hot favourite is. It was favoured to win so strongly that it had three and a half times more money backing it than any other runner in the field. That huge attraction of money was obvious when looking at the race with TriLogics. At the 1-minute mark So You Think was sitting on a red Money Gap of 3.59, above the second favourite, More Joyous, trained by Gai Waterhouse.
Although More Joyous didn’t finish “in the money” she and So You Think were running what could be described as a “match race” starting from the 600m mark. The second favourite couldn’t keep up the pace and finished fourth while So You Think pulled ahead and finished first with room to spare followed by Zipping and Whobegotyou. This combination resulted in a strong Banker Trifecta result, which could have been achieved by following the basic guidelines and ticking down to the number 8 runner for 2nd and 3rd place. Those selections resulted in 42 combinations, the maximum number to be a trading race.
Viewing the race through TriLogics, the amount of money pouring in for So You Think was consistent over the last 5 updates, which is very unusual. Normally, the flow of money on a particular runner fluctuates to some extent. In the case of So You Think, the money it attracted in the overall lead-up to the race didn’t fluctuate but stayed consistent. This was another indicator of what a strong favourite it was.
As Intervest Global Live has discussed in the past, this kind of big race qualifying as a trading race doesn’t come along all the time during the Spring Carnival. But keep TriLogics on to increase your chances of profiting—even when the red-hot favourite wins as expected.
Date: Wednesday, October 20, 2010
Last week Intervest Global Live touched on some big races in the Spring Carnival. As we approach the Melbourne Cup the races just keep getting bigger, and Intervest Global Live will keep an eye on them even when they’re not trading races for TriLogics owners. This past Saturday saw another big race—the Caulfield Cup. This race had some real surprises! What wasn’t a big surprise however, was that the big race for the day didn’t qualify as a TriLogics trading race. In a moment Intervest Global Live will take a brief look at why. We’ll also look at why races that are good for TriLogics owners aren’t the same ones that are good for the big stars of racing like Bart Cummings and Gai Waterhouse.
The big stars of the day, in addition to the previously mentioned trainers, were the big-name favourites: Alcopop, Shocking, and Bart Cummings’ Faint Perfume. As it turned out, none of those big names handled the conditions very well. The conditions were so wet that early in the morning there was talk about the race being postponed. Although the track conditions contributed to the surprising finish, the Caulfield Cup was always a 100 to 1 shot as far as being a TriLogics trading race. The field was just too big, and with so many strong horses there would be too many Trifecta combinations to qualify as a trading race.
Even though the race wasn’t a TriLogics trading race, if you use the software to examine the race some very interesting things become apparent. Descarado (#15), the runner that won and which was trained by Ms Gai Waterhouse was halfway down the field as far as money support at the 2 minute mark. That in itself isn’t so surprising because the night before the race he was in the bottom third of the field as far as money support. What is interesting—if you look at the race with the BettorData feed—is that at the -3:30 minute mark (that’s 3 and a half minutes AFTER the advertised race start) $10,660 was invested on Descarado.
That person or people must have been watching the horses get loaded into the barriers and waited until the last possible second to invest that huge amount of money. A minute earlier Alcopop had $80,000 placed on it in late trading, but it had been attracting big money all along. At that same -2:30 minute mark Descarado was 13th in attracting very late money. But one minute later, at the last possible second, it was Descarado, which is considered a good runner in sloppy conditions, that ended up being the best backed runner in the final update—just seconds before the race jumped.
Other than being very interesting to people who follow the money, can this info help a TriLogics owner win more money? In this particular situation the short answer is “no”. But it points out that even in a race like this, which was far outside the guidelines of TriLogics, someone had a very strong suspicion that Descarado would win. They were right and they left a money trail—even if it was at the very last second. We think following the money is the best route to success and that’s how TriLogics is designed.
Date: Wednesday, October 13, 2010
No doubt, many of you have been hearing news about the big races underway in the Spring Carnival. They’re very exciting and Intervest Global Live will be looking at them in weeks to come. Every year about this time Intervest Global Live reminds TriLogics owners that these aren’t necessarily the best races to trade when using TriLogics—especially if your main interest is making money. Intervest Global Live developed TriLogics so it could analyse every race, whether its prize pool is $1,000 or $1 million. Let’s take a moment to see how last Saturday’s racing looked with TriLogics.
Because Spring Carnival races are so big, they attract the strongest runners and huge money. These glamour races have many horses with a reasonable chance of winning. That’s good if you like excitement, but not so good if you want to make money with the Trifecta module. This time of year, if you want to have a look at the big races you should focus on using the Percentage Return module and keep your eye on trading against the favourite, especially when there are 4 or 5 other strong runners attracting solid money. Even then, in most cases you’ll be better off focusing on the smaller races.
Keeping our attention on Percentage Return, let’s look at MR06—the Group 1 Toorak Handicap. More Joyous was a very strong favourite attracting over 42% of the prize pool—that’s nearly 3 times the amount of money as the next strongest runner. In a situation like that, if everything else is right you would want to go with the favourite. But for owners using TriLogics, Intervest Global Live guidelines wouldn’t recommend taking More Joyous, because we never take just one runner. Instead, we’d need to cover 3 or 4 runners. If you did that in this race, then there wouldn’t be enough profit to make it worth the risk. The situation was slightly different in the next race.
In MR07, the $1 million Caulfield Guineas, Anacheeva stormed to victory. But looking at the field with your TriLogics software the race was an “open market”. In other words, the top 6 runners were all virtually equal in the amount of money they were attracting. Unlike the previous race, the top favourite in this race only held 22% of the prize pool. This situation would normally mean you would want to trade against the favourite, but due to the even spread of money among the other 5 top runners you wouldn’t have had enough percentage for the race to qualify as a trading race. In fact, if you had taken all 7 top runners (taking us to the red Money Gap of 1.5) you would have only had 36.5% profit—and our minimum is 50%. Doing that you could have won $73 on a $200 trade and that’s not a good enough return considering the risk.
It’s most important to remember that while these big Group 1 races were taking place in Victoria, there were a couple of Percentage Return races at other tracks at right around the same time where you could have put some money in your pocket. The first was SR07 at Rosehill where the top two runners were clearly the strongest. The total money value they were holding was two and a half times the money as the 3rd strongest. In this case, TriLogics owners could have made $92. A short time later, AR08 saw the top 3 runners (11, 9, and 7) as clearly the superior horses attracting twice as much money as the 4th runner. Trading on that race could have resulted in winnings of $216. As you look at the Spring Carnival, these are the kinds of races you should be looking for. And don’t forget to pay particular attention to using the Percentage Return module in these situations.
Date: Wednesday, October 6, 2010
There are all kinds of news stories worth touching on relating to the overall financial picture of Australians and New Zealanders and the Spring Racing Carnival, but those will have to take a back seat to the great start Intervest Global Live have seen for TriLogics in October. The month started with a bang for TriLogics Trifecta. For TriLogics owners who were trading along with Intervest Global Live guidelines they could have seen positive figures of more than $1160 for the first day of the month. That figure represents trading with both Trifecta and Percentage return. Making things even better, according to the figures posted by Intervest Global Live trainers, the end of September was also very strong for TriLogics with Trifecta numbers of $1238 for the last 7 days of the month. That’s a total of more than $2400 TriLogics owners could have made for the 8 day period from the 24th of September through the 1st of October.
Focusing on October 1st, the figures as posted on the TriLogics website show that for owners following the guidelines there would have been two winning outcomes out of two qualifying Trifecta races for the day. Those races were SR02 (with a potential earnings for TriLogics owners of $485.10) and SR05 (with potential earnings for TriLogics owners of $598.80)—hopefully you were trading that Friday! Percentage Return could have added a few extra dollars, too, (about $83) with 2 out of 3 qualifying races having positive outcomes. So for that Friday the 1st of October, TriLogics owners trading with the guidelines could have had made great money on 4 out of 5 qualifying races.
As you look at the race history for both the SR02 and SR05 Trifectas, they were very straightforward. Each required owners to tick down to the boxes as per the standard guidelines and there were just very small allowances for 3rd place on both Trifecta races.
As for the other news, the Australian dollar is flirting with highs not seen since before the GFC and so this is a great time for Kiwis to be making Australian dollars through TriLogics. The Aussie dollar did drop a bit late on Tuesday when the Reserve Bank of Australia decided against an interest rate rise but as of Wednesday morning the 6th of October it has already regained all its losses and is poised to go higher still. Again, for Kiwis this is especially good news when they make Aussie dollars through TriLogics. This coming Saturday also sees the $1 million Caulfield Guineas as the capper for a great day of racing in Victoria, with three Group One races at Caulfield. We will not go into details on this classic race for 3 year olds, but keep TriLogics on for your best chance of making money at Caulfield and the other tracks this weekend.
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