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Investment professionals don’t like to admit it, but there is a lot of similarity between putting money into a share or bond market and putting money on a horse race.

There are two types of investment strategies that can be found in both activities. While market investors with a preference for ‘fundamentals’ ponder a company’s earnings, management and prospects, horse race pundits look at the condition of the track, previous wins and the quality of the jockey.

Other market investors prefer a ‘technical’ approach where they graph an index or a share, looking for trends, or combine signals such as price movements and transaction volumes.

The ability to do the same level of analysis on horses has been difficult in the past because of the amount of information required and the speed at which calculations must be made in response to new information or changes in betting patterns.

However, that has changed with the introduction to New Zealand of TriLogics, a computer system that takes live information from the TAB in Australia and recommends a spread of bets that offer the best chance of showing a profit.

TriLogics was developed in 1999, and is marketed by the TriLogics Group. Since then it claims to have helped thousands of clients improve their chances at the racetrack.

Significantly, no knowledge about computer systems or horse racing is needed and the software doesn't even name the horses. Instead the software directly links to the TAB’s data flow to track every dollar invested on every horse in real time and makes calculations based on statistical probabilities.

 

Example

Here’s an example: A TriLogics customer logs into the system and views live data from a race about to begin in Sydney within five minutes.

The customer checks that the race meets TriLogics’ six criteria, which dictate a minimum number of horses are in the race, that the prize pool is adequate and so on. He or she then confirms the software’s choice of possible first, second or third place getters based on the horses’ popularity with other betters on the race.

Just seconds before the race starts, the software places up to 60 trifecta bets (predicting which horses will place first, second and third) with a variety of combinations. The total amount committed in a race is $200 to a maximum of $400 and, if one of those 60 combinations is successful, the return is typically around $600 - $1200. The company says the software has proven popular with retired or semi-retired people because they can supplement their income while choosing their own hours and working from home.

One of the big differences between investing in markets and putting money on horses is that, if you get a bet wrong on a race, you lose 100% of your investment. In the markets, usually the percentage is much less than that.

However, Whyatt says the average success rate of bets using his system is around 70%, so profits over time usually exceed costs.

Another difference is that investing in the markets requires brokerage fees while there are no such fees when bets are placed on horses.

The TriLogics system is not cheap at over $30,000NZD, but the company says many of its clients report making substantially more than this in tax-paid profits every year.

TriLogics also offers a capital guarantee for the first year to new users who have completed a comprehensive training programme.

Whyatt does not promise the system is a ‘get rich quick’ solution and stresses that users need to devote time to understanding it and then using it. However, he cites hundreds of examples where people are making $500 - $1500 per week by putting in 15 – 20 hours in front of the screen.

“People use our programme like an ATM machine because it generates cash flow week-to-week. Unlike other investments, you don’t have to sell something to get some money. We encourage clients to use any surplus cash to invest in other assets like shares or property.”

He acknowledges that some people have been unhappy with their investment in the software but believes they have had a get rich quick mentality and not committed themselves to learning and using the programme correctly.